Publication

Time delay lens modelling challenge

Abstract

In recent years, breakthroughs in methods and data have enabled gravitational time delays to emerge as a very powerful tool to measure the Hubble constant H-0. However, published state-of-the-art analyses require of order 1 yr of expert investigator time and up to a million hours of computing time per system. Furthermore, as precision improves, it is crucial to identify and mitigate systematic uncertainties. With this time delay lens modelling challenge, we aim to assess the level of precision and accuracy of the modelling techniques that are currently fast enough to handle of order 50 lenses, via the blind analysis of simulated data sets. The results in Rungs 1 and 2 show that methods that use only the point source positions tend to have lower precision (10-20 per cent) while remaining accurate. In Rung 2, the methods that exploit the full information of the imaging and kinematic data sets can recover H-0 within the target accuracy (vertical bar A vertical bar < 2 per cent) and precision (

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