Concept

Bayesian probability

Related publications (388)

Population density and water balance influence the global occurrence of hepatitis E epidemics

In developing countries, the waterborne transmission of hepatitis E virus (HEV), particularly the genotypes 1 and 2, leads to the onset of large recurrent outbreaks. In order to identify the geographical regions at higher risk of HEV epidemics and the cond ...

2018

Adaptive Path Interpolation for Sparse Systems: Application to a Simple Censored Block Model

Nicolas Macris, Jean François Emmanuel Barbier, Chun Lam Chan

A new adaptive path interpolation method has been recently developed as a simple and versatile scheme to calculate exactly the asymptotic mutual information of Bayesian inference problems defined on dense factor graphs. These include random linear and gene ...

IEEE2018

Robust model updating methodology for estimating worst-case load capacity of existing bridges

Ian Smith, Didier Vernay, François-Xavier Favre

High-value infrastructure elements, such as bridges, are typically over-designed. Model-updating techniques are useful for estimating the reserve load capacity (beyond safety factors) of bridges and this improves sustainability through good asset-managemen ...

2018

The stochastic heat equation: hitting probabilities and the probability density function of the supremum via Malliavin calculus

Fei Pu

In this thesis, we study systems of linear and/or non-linear stochastic heat equations and fractional heat equations in spatial dimension

1

driven by space-time white noise. The main topic is the study of hitting probabilities for the solutions to these ...

EPFL2018

CNN based Query by Example Spoken Term Detection

Hervé Bourlard, Dhananjay Ram

In this work, we address the problem of query by example spoken term detection (QbE-STD) in zero-resource scenario. State of the art solutions usually rely on dynamic time warping (DTW) based template matching. In contrast, we propose here to tackle the pr ...

ISCA-INT SPEECH COMMUNICATION ASSOC2018

Csma/ca in time and frequency domains

Patrick Thiran, Julien Pierre Sacha Herzen

The present invention concerns a method for a communication device to transmit a data packet in a wireless communication system. The method comprises: determining (21) a first set of transmission parameters comprising a first central transmission frequency ...

2017

Control synthesis for stochastic systems given automata specifications defined by stochastic sets

Maryam Kamgarpour, John Lygeros, Tony Alan Wood

The problem of control synthesis to maximize the probability of satisfying automata specifications for systems with uncertainty is addressed. Two types of uncertainty are considered; stochasticity in the dynamical system and in the sets defining the specif ...

2017

Multi-Modal Mean-Fields via Cardinality-Based Clamping

Pascal Fua, François Fleuret

Mean Field inference is central to statistical physics. It has attracted much interest in the Computer Vision community to efficiently solve problems expressible in terms of large Conditional Random Fields. However, since it models the posterior probabilit ...

Ieee2017

Multi-Modal Mean-Fields via Cardinality-Based Clamping

Pascal Fua, François Fleuret

Ieee2017

Dynamic Bayesian Networks for Student Modeling

Intelligent tutoring systems adapt the curriculum to the needs of the individual student. Therefore, an accurate representation and prediction of student knowledge is essential. Bayesian Knowledge Tracing (BKT) is a popular approach for student modeling. T ...

2017

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The stochastic heat equation: hitting probabilities and the probability density function of the supremum via Malliavin calculus

Fei Pu

In this thesis, we study systems of linear and/or non-linear stochastic heat equations and fractional heat equations in spatial dimension

1

driven by space-time white noise. The main topic is the study of hitting probabilities for the solutions to these ...

EPFL2018