Concept
Compartmental models in epidemiology
Related publications (63)
Epidemicity indices and reproduction numbers from infectious disease data in connected human populations
Andrea Rinaldo, Cristiano Trevisin, Lorenzo Mari, Marino Gatto
We focus on distinctive data-driven measures of the fate of ongoing epidemics. The relevance of our pursuit is suggested by recent results proving that the short-term temporal evolution of infection spread is described by an epidemicity index related to th ...
2024Spatially explicit effective reproduction numbers from incidence and mobility data
Andrea Rinaldo, Cristiano Trevisin, Enrico Bertuzzo, Lorenzo Mari, Damiano Pasetto, Marino Gatto
Current methods for near real-time estimation of effective reproduction numbers from surveillance data overlook mobility fluxes of infectors and susceptible individuals within a spatially connected network (the metapopulation). Exchanges of infections amon ...
2023Community-Aware Group Testing
Pavlos Nikolopoulos, Christina Fragouli, Suhas Diggavi, Sundara Rajan Srinivasavaradhan
Group testing is a technique that can reduce the number of tests needed to identify infected members in a population, by pooling together multiple diagnostic samples. Despite the variety and importance of prior results, traditional work on group testing ha ...
IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC2023Optimized numerical solutions of SIRDVW multiage model controlling SARS-CoV-2 vaccine roll out: An application to the Italian scenario
Alfio Quarteroni, Nicola Parolini
In the context of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, mathematical modelling has played a funda-mental role for making forecasts, simulating scenarios and evaluating the impact of pre-ventive political, social and pharmaceutical measures. Optimal control theory represent ...
KEAI PUBLISHING LTD2023Cryo-EM structures and binding of mouse and human ACE2 to SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern indicate that mutations enabling immune escape could expand host range
Didier Trono, Henning Paul-Julius Stahlberg, Priscilla Turelli, Florence Pojer, Dongchun Ni, Sergey Nazarov, Kelvin Ka Ching Lau, Alexander Myasnikov, Emiko Uchikawa
nvestigation of potential hosts of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) is crucial to understanding future risks of spillover and spillback. SARS-CoV-2 has been reported to be transmitted from humans to various animals after req ...
2023Optimizing the mitigation of epidemic spreading through targeted adoption of contact tracing apps
The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic is the first epidemic in human history in which digital contact tracing has been deployed at a global scale. Tracking and quarantining all the contacts of individuals who test positive for a virus can help slow down an epidemi ...
AMER PHYSICAL SOC2022The Role of Adaptivity in Source Identification with Time Queries
Understanding epidemic propagation in large networks is an important but challenging task, especially since we usually lack information, and the information that we have is often counter-intuitive. An illustrative example is the dependence of the final siz ...
EPFL2022SARS-CoV-2 epidemiological model based on socio economic variables in Switzerland
Michel Bierlaire, Cloe Cortes Balcells, Rico Krüger
Existing epidemiological models analyze the transmission of infectious diseases considering a perfect homogenous population. However, the COVID-19 emergency has shown the importance of considering activity-travel behavior when studying the spreading of the ...
2022Epidemicity of cholera spread and the fate of infection control measures
Andrea Rinaldo, Cristiano Trevisin, Lorenzo Mari, Damiano Pasetto, Joseph Chadi Benoit Lemaitre, Marino Gatto
The fate of ongoing infectious disease outbreaks is predicted through reproduction numbers, defining the long-term establishment of the infection, and epidemicity indices, tackling the reactivity of the infectious pool to new contagions. Prognostic metrics ...
2022A mathematical dashboard for the analysis of Italian COVID-19 epidemic data
Alfio Quarteroni, Luca Dede', Nicola Parolini
An analysis of the COVID-19 epidemic is proposed on the basis of the epiMOX dashboard (publicly accessible at ) that deals with data of the epidemic trends and outbreaks in Italy from late February 2020. Our analysis provides an immediate appreciation of t ...
WILEY2021