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Andrea Kraus

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Related publications (6)

Please note that this is not a complete list of this person’s publications. It includes only semantically relevant works. For a full list, please refer to Infoscience.

Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations

Benjamin Bejar Haro, Ekaterina Krymova, Ntorina Thanou, Nicola Parolini, Daniel Rodrigo Lopez, Andrea Kraus, Daniel Lopez, David Kraus, Markus Scholz, Tao Sun

Background:Short-term forecasts of infectious disease burden can contribute to situational awareness and aid capacity planning. Based on best practice in other fields and recent insights in infectious disease epidemiology, one can maximise the predictive p ...

eLIFE SCIENCES PUBL LTD2023

Parameter estimation for discretely observed linear birth-and-death processes

Anthony Christopher Davison, Sophie Myriam Hautphenne, Andrea Kraus

Birth-and-death processes are widely used to model the development of biological populations. Although they are relatively simple models, their parameters can be challenging to estimate, as the likelihood can become numerically unstable when data arise fro ...

WILEY2021

Frequentist estimation of an epidemic's spreading potential when observations are scarce

Victor Panaretos, Andrea Kraus

We consider the problem of inferring the potential of an epidemic for escalating into a pandemic on the basis of limited observations in its initial stages. Classical results of Becker & Hasofer (J. R. Statist. Soc. B, 59, 415-29) illustrate that frequenti ...

Oxford University Press2014