Publications by Jonathan A. Tawn

Sub‐asymptotic motivation for new conditional multivariate extreme models

Anthony Christopher Davison, Thomas Lugrin, Jonathan A. Tawn

Statistical models for extreme values are generally derived from non-degenerate probabilistic limits that can be used to approximate the distribution of events that exceed a selected high threshold. If convergence to the limit distribution is slow, then th ...

2021

Modelling across extremal dependence classes

Anthony Christopher Davison, Jennifer Lynne Wadsworth, Jonathan A. Tawn

Different dependence scenarios can arise in multivariate extremes, entailing careful selection of an appropriate class of models. In bivariate extremes, the variables are either asymptotically dependent or are asymptotically independent. Most available sta ...

Wiley-Blackwell2017

Bayesian uncertainty management in temporal dependence of extremes

Anthony Christopher Davison, Thomas Lugrin, Jonathan A. Tawn

Both marginal and dependence features must be described when modelling the extremes of a stationary time series. There are standard approaches to marginal modelling, but long-and short-range dependence of extremes may both appear. In applications, an assum ...

Springer Verlag2016

Efficient inference for spatial extreme value processes associated to log-Gaussian random functions

Jennifer Lynne Wadsworth, Jonathan A. Tawn

Max-stable processes arise as the only possible nontrivial limits for maxima of affinely normalized identically distributed stochastic processes, and thus form an important class of models for the extreme values of spatial processes. Until recently, infere ...

Oxford University Press2014

A new representation for multivariate tail probabilities

Jennifer Lynne Wadsworth, Jonathan A. Tawn

Existing theory for multivariate extreme values focuses upon characterizations of the distributional tails when all components of a random vector, standardized to identical margins, grow at the same rate. In this paper, we consider the effect of allowing t ...

Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability2013