Simple learning rules to cope with changing environments
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This research project is an experimental study of decision-making in very difficult contexts resembling those encountered in financial markets. The starting point was the empirical observation that financial assets are objects of a very complex kind. Speci ...
Today's computers allow us to simulate large, complex physical problems. Many times the mathematical models describing such problems are based on a relatively small amount of available information such as experimental measurements. The question arises whet ...
We run a comparative study of ecohydrological models of streamflow probability distributions (pdfs), p(Q), derived by Botter et al. (2007a, 2009), against field data gathered in different hydrological contexts. Streamflows measured in several catchments ac ...
This paper presents an approach for model identifiability that builds upon recent research into measurement data interpretation. The objective of this approach is to determine probabilistically to what degree the number of models able to explain a measured ...
This paper presents a first approach to dynamic frequency-based transit assignment. As such the model aims to close the gap between schedule-based and frequency-based models. Frequency-based approaches have some advantages compared to schedule-based models ...
In this paper, two fixed per-information symbol complexity lossless source coding algorithms are modified for estimation and incremental LT decoding over piecewise stationary memoryless channels (PSMC's) with a bounded number of abrupt changes in channel s ...
Based on the results from a field survey campaign, this article describes three new developments which have been integrated to provide a comprehensive basis for the evaluation of overheating risk in offices. Firstly, a set of logistic regression equations ...
The aim of this tutorial is to show that, when properly formulated, probability theory is simply the science of plausible reasoning, which permits us to represent exactly and to update our state of information about the world. This is nothing new, since in ...
The fair exchange problem is key to trading electronic items in systems of mutually untrusted parties. In modern variants of such systems, each party is equipped with a tamper proof security module. The security modules trust each other but can only commun ...
The structural refinement of the modulated phase of 4,4'-Diethoxyazoxybenzene (DXB) indicates a correlation between the shifts on the DXB molecule (modulation) and the probability to find the azoxy (N --> O) group in different configurations (disorder). Th ...