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An Option Pricing Formula for the GARCH Diffusion Model

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Real options and risk aversion

Erwan Morellec, Julien Hugonnier

In the standard real options approach to investment under uncertainty, agents formulate optimal policies under the assumptions of risk neutrality or complete financial markets. Although these assumptions are crucial to the implications of the approach, the ...

2012

Spatiotemporal Brain Signatures of Risk and Reward

Anjali Devi Vanapilli Nursimulu

Rational economics and finance surmise that choices decree from a conscious arbitration between alternatives based on decision-theoretically computed values. Implicit in the computation of these option values are the perception and integration of different ...

Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne2012

Conditional Density Models for Asset Pricing

Damir Filipovic

We model the dynamics of asset prices and associated derivatives by consideration of the dynamics of the conditional probability density process for the value of an asset at some specified time in the future. In the case where the asset is driven by Browni ...

World Scientific Publishing2012

CEO Contract Design: How Do Strong Principals Do It?

Rüdiger Fahlenbrach

We study changes in chief executive officer (CEO) contracts when firms transition from public ownership with dispersed owners to private ownership with strong principals in the form of private equity sponsors. The most significant changes are that a signif ...

Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series2012

Hedging Electricity Swing Options in Incomplete Markets

Daniel Kuhn, Wolfram Wiesemann

The deregulation of electricity markets renders public utilities vulnerable to the high volatility of electricity spot prices. This price risk is effectively mitigated by swing options, which allow the option holder to buy electric energy from the option w ...

2011

Explaining asset pricing puzzles associated with the 1987 market crash

Pierre Collin Dufresne

The 1987 market crash was associated with a dramatic and permanent steepening of the implied volatility curve for equity index options, despite minimal changes in aggregate consumption. We explain these events within a general equilibrium framework in whic ...

Elsevier2011

Variance Risk Premia in Energy Commodities

Anders Trolle

This paper investigates variance risk premia in energy commodities, particularly crude oil and natural gas, using a robust model-independent approach. Over a period of 11 years, we find that the average variance risk premia are significantly negative for b ...

2010

Pricing expropriation risk in natural resource contracts – A real options approach

Anders Trolle

We develop a model for pricing expropriation risk in natural resource projects, in particular an oil field. The government is viewed as holding an American-style option to expropriate the oil field, but facing the following three possible expropriation cos ...

MIT press2010

Real options valuation of fusion energy R&D programme

Edgard Gnansounou, Denis Bednyagin

This paper aims to perform a real options valuation of fusion energy R&D programme. Strategic value of thermonuclear fusion technology is estimated here based on the expected cash flows from construction and operation of fusion power plants and the real op ...

Elsevier2010

Dynamic investment and financing under personal taxation

Erwan Morellec, Norman Schuerhoff

This paper examines the effects of capital gains taxation on firms’ investment and financing decisions. We develop a real options model in which the timing of investment, the decision to default, and the firm’s capital structure are endogenously and jointl ...

2010