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Ambiguity in Asset Markets: Theory and Experiment

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Three Problems of Liquidity under Asymmetric Information

Sylvain Jean Pascal Carré

This thesis develops models for three problems of liquidity under asymmetric information. In the chapter "Disclosures, Rollover Risk, and Debt Runs" I build a model of dynamic debt runs without perfect information in order to understand the impact of asset ...

EPFL2019

Non-myopic betas

Semyon Malamud

An overlapping generations model with investors having heterogeneous investment horizons leads to a two-factor asset pricing model. The risk premiums are determined by the exposure to the market (myopic betas) and the future return on the efficient portfol ...

2018

Replicating portfolio approach to capital calculation

Damir Filipovic, Mathieu Jacques David Cambou

The replicating portfolio (RP) approach to the calculation of capital for life insurance portfolios is an industry standard. The RP is obtained from projecting the terminal loss of discounted asset–liability cash flows on a set of factors generated by a fa ...

2018

Three Essays on Predictability and Seasonality in the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

Vincent Jean Bogousslavsky

This thesis examines predictability and seasonality in the cross-section of stock returns. The first chapter, titled ``Infrequent Rebalancing, Return Autocorrelation, and Seasonality,'' shows that a model of infrequent rebalancing can explain specific pred ...

EPFL2017

Asset Pricing When 'This Time Is Different'

Pierre Collin Dufresne

Recent evidence suggests that younger people update beliefs in response to aggregate shocks more than older people. We embed this generational learning bias in an equilibrium model in which agents have recursive preferences and are uncertain about exogenou ...

Oxford Univ Press Inc2017

Insider Trading, Stochastic Liquidity, And Equilibrium Prices

Pierre Collin Dufresne

We extend Kyle's (1985) model of insider trading to the case where noise trading volatility follows a general stochastic process. We determine conditions under which, in equilibrium, price impact and price volatility are both stochastic, driven by shocks t ...

Wiley-Blackwell2016

Uniqueness of equilibrium in a payment system with liquidation costs

Damir Filipovic, Léo Hamed Amini

We study a financial network where forced liquidations of an illiquid asset have a negative impact on its price, thus reinforcing network contagion. We give conditions for uniqueness of the clearing asset price and liability payments. Our main result holds ...

Elsevier Science Bv2016

A Robust Resolution of Newcomb's Paradox

Thomas Alois Weber

Newcomb's problem is viewed as a dynamic game with an agent and a superior being as players. Depending on whether or not a risk-neutral agent's confidence in the superior being, as measured by a subjective probability assigned to the move order, exceeds a ...

2016

Multi-Period Portfolio Optimization: Translation of Autocorrelation Risk to Excess Variance

Napat Rujeerapaiboon, Byung-Geun Choi

Growth-optimal portfolios are guaranteed to accumulate higher wealth than any other investment strategy in the long run. However, they tend to be risky in the short term. For serially uncorrelated markets, similar portfolios with more robust guarantees hav ...

2016

Robust Growth-Optimal Portfolios

Daniel Kuhn, Napat Rujeerapaiboon, Wolfram Wiesemann

The growth-optimal portfolio is designed to have maximum expected log-return over the next rebalancing period. Thus, it can be computed with relative ease by solving a static optimization problem. The growth-optimal portfolio has sparked fascination among ...

Informs2016