Implementation and Performance Analysis of the Lightning Potential Index as a Forecasting Tool
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The development of a hydrological forecasting model is conditioned by the available data collected in the entire hydrological catchment for which discharge has to be predicted. The forecast quality not only depends on the available historical data but also ...
Determining safe aircraft trajectories that avoid hazardous weather regions and other aircraft while efficiently using the available airspace is an important problem. Although tactical weather forecast maps have been available, their use in automated aircr ...
Impacts of climate change on winter tourism supply have attracted considerable scientific interest in recent years. In comparison, only few studies have addressed so far the effects on demand. In this article, we analyse how snow and weather conditions cur ...
Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften2011
This paper presents a score that can be used for evaluating probabilistic forecasts of multicategory events. The score is a reinterpretation of the logarithmic score or ignorance score, now formulated as the relative entropy or Kullback–Leibler divergence ...
Demand forecasting consists of using data of the past demand to obtain an approximation of the future demand. Mathematical approaches can lead to reliable forecasts in deterministic context through extrapolating regular patterns in time-series. However, un ...
Demand forecasting consists of using data of the past demand to obtain an approximation of the future demand. Mathematical approaches can lead to reliable forecasts in deterministic context, extrapolating regular patterns in series. However unpredictable e ...
Ieee Service Center, 445 Hoes Lane, Po Box 1331, Piscataway, Nj 08855-1331 Usa2009
An important competence for a mobile robot system is the ability to localize and perform context interpretation. This is required to perform basic navigation and to facilitate local specific services. Usually localization is performed based on a purely geo ...
Chevroulet's research focuses on the interface between transportation, environment, and energy. He is investigating how assessment and forecasting methods may be used to improve project design. In his talk, he looks at ways to connect assessment and foreca ...
Impacts of climate change on winter tourism supply have attracted considerable interest in recent years. In comparison, only few studies have addressed so far the effects on demand. In this article, we analyze how snow and weather conditions currently impa ...
Probabilistic predictions are becoming increasingly popular in hydrology. Equally important are methods to test such predictions, given the topical debate on uncertainty analysis in hydrology. Also in the special case of hydrological forecasting, there is ...