Publication

Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July-December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination

Related publications (36)

Optimized numerical solutions of SIRDVW multiage model controlling SARS-CoV-2 vaccine roll out: An application to the Italian scenario

Alfio Quarteroni, Nicola Parolini

In the context of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, mathematical modelling has played a funda-mental role for making forecasts, simulating scenarios and evaluating the impact of pre-ventive political, social and pharmaceutical measures. Optimal control theory represent ...
KEAI PUBLISHING LTD2023

Aerosol pH is an overlooked driver of airborne influenza and coronavirus inactivation

Tamar Kohn

The current pandemic has added to the growing evidence that respiratory viruses can be transmitted by the airborne route. Non-pharmaceutical interventions, such as mask wearing or ventilation, aim to reduce the public health burden of respiratory diseases ...
2023

Spatially explicit effective reproduction numbers from incidence and mobility data

Andrea Rinaldo, Cristiano Trevisin, Enrico Bertuzzo, Lorenzo Mari, Damiano Pasetto, Marino Gatto

Current methods for near real-time estimation of effective reproduction numbers from surveillance data overlook mobility fluxes of infectors and susceptible individuals within a spatially connected network (the metapopulation). Exchanges of infections amon ...
2023

Optimal control of the spatial allocation of COVID-19 vaccines: Italy as a case study

Andrea Rinaldo, Enrico Bertuzzo, Lorenzo Mari, Damiano Pasetto, Joseph Chadi Benoit Lemaitre, Mario Zanon, Marino Gatto

While campaigns of vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 are underway across the world, communities face the challenge of a fair and effective distribution of a limited supply of doses. Current vaccine allocation strategies are based on criteria such as age or ri ...
2022

Preliminary evidence that daily light exposure enhances the antibody response to influenza vaccination in patients with dementia

Jean-Louis Scartezzini

Enhancing lighting conditions in institutions for individuals with dementia improves their sleep, circadian rhythms and well-being. Here, we report first findings that exposure to brighter light during daytime may support the immune response to the annual ...
ELSEVIER2022

Modeling infectious disease dynamics towards informed public health interventions, with applications on COVID-19 and cholera

Joseph Chadi Benoit Lemaitre

Emerging and existing infectious diseases pose a constant threat to individuals and communities across the world. In many cases, the burden of these diseases is preventable through public health interventions. However, taking the right decisions and design ...
EPFL2021

Wastewater monitoring outperforms case numbers as a tool to track COVID-19 incidence dynamics when test positivity rates are high

Tamar Kohn, Xavier Fernandez Cassi, Joseph Chadi Benoit Lemaitre, Federica Cariti, Alex Tunas Corzon, Timothy R. Julian, Carola Bänziger

Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) has been shown to coincide with, or anticipate, confirmed COVID-19 case numbers. During periods with high test positivity rates, however, case numbers may be underreported, whereas wastewater does not suffer from this li ...
2021

Detection of Spatiotemporal Clusters of COVID-19-Associated Symptoms and Prevention Using a Participatory Surveillance App: Protocol for the @choum Study

Stéphane Joost, Idris Guessous, David Nicolas De Ridder

Background: The early detection of clusters of infectious diseases such as the SARS-CoV-2-related COVID-19 disease can promote timely testing recommendation compliance and help to prevent disease outbreaks. Prior research revealed the potential of COVID-19 ...
JMIR PUBLICATIONS, INC2021

Identification of Vaccine Effects When Exposure Status Is Unknown

Mats Julius Stensrud

Results from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) help determine vaccination strategies and related public health policies. However, defining and identifying estimands that can guide policies in infectious disease settings is difficult, even in an RCT. The ...
2021

Adjuvant-free immunization with infective filarial larvae as lymphatic homing antigen carriers

Marcela Rincón-Restrepo, Melody Swartz, Witold Waldemar Kilarski, Sachiko Hirosue, Alexandre de Titta, Esra Güç, David Scott Wilson

Controlled infection with intestinal nematodes has therapeutic potential for preventing the symptoms of allergic and autoimmune diseases. Here, we engineered larvae of the filarial nematode Litomosoides sigmodontis as a vaccine strategy to induce adaptive ...
NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP2020

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