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Spatially explicit effective reproduction numbers from incidence and mobility data

Related publications (33)

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Ecohydrological and Metacommunity Studies of Proliferative Kidney Disease Spread in Freshwater Salmonid Fish

Luca Carraro

Proliferative kidney disease (PKD) is a high-mortality pathology affecting freshwater salmonid populations in Europe and North America. Its causative agent, the myxozoan Tetracapsuloides bryosalmonae, has a complex life-cycle exploiting freshwater bryozoan ...

EPFL2018

Modeling Key Drivers of Cholera Transmission Dynamics Provides New Perspectives for Parasitology

Andrea Rinaldo, Melanie Blokesch, Enrico Bertuzzo, Lorenzo Mari, Marino Gatto

Hydroclimatological and anthropogenic factors are key drivers of waterborne disease transmission. Information on human settlements and host mobility on waterways along which pathogens and hosts disperse, and relevant hydroclimatological processes, can be a ...

Elsevier2017

An ecological and digital epidemiology analysis on the role of human behavior on the 2014 Chikungunya outbreak in Martinique

Marcel Salathé

Understanding the spatio-temporal dynamics of endemic infections is of critical importance for a deeper understanding of pathogen transmission, and for the design of more efficient public health strategies. However, very few studies in this domain have foc ...

2017

Vaccine refusal can lead to renewed outbreaks of previously eliminated diseases and even delay global eradication. Vaccinating decisions exemplify a complex, coupled system where vaccinating behavior and disease dynamics influence one another. Such systems ...

National Academy of Sciences2017

A generalized definition of reactivity for ecological systems and the problem of transient species dynamics

Andrea Rinaldo, Lorenzo Mari, Marino Gatto

Perturbations to an ecosystem's steady state can trigger transient responses of great ecological relevance. Asymptotic stability determines whether a generic perturbation will fade out in the long run, but falls short of characterizing the dynamics imme ...

Wiley2017

Historically, infectious diseases caused considerable damage to human societies, and they continue to do so today. To help reduce their impact, mathematical models of disease transmission have been studied to help understand disease dynamics and inform pre ...

Elsevier Science Bv2016

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The spatiotemporal evolution of human mobility and the related fluctuations of population density are known to be key drivers of the dynamics of infectious disease outbreaks. These factors are particularly relevant in the case of mass gatherings, which may ...

Natl Acad Sciences2016

A Theoretical Analysis of the Geography of Schistosomiasis in Burkina Faso Highlights the Roles of Human Mobility and Water Resources Development in Disease Transmission

Andrea Rinaldo, Enrico Bertuzzo, Lorenzo Mari, Natalie Claire Ceperley, Theophile Mande, Francisco Javier Perez Saez, Yeli Mariam Sou, Marino Gatto

We study the geography of schistosomiasis across Burkina Faso by means of a spatially explicit model of water-based disease dynamics. The model quantitatively addresses the geographic stratification of disease burden in a novel framework by explicitly acco ...

Public Library of Science2015

Circadian rhythms in insect disease vectors

Antonio Carlos Alves Meireles Filho

Organisms from bacteria to humans have evolved under predictable daily environmental cycles owing to the Earth's rotation. This strong selection pressure has generated endogenous circadian clocks that regulate many aspects of behaviour, physiology and meta ...

Fundaco Oswaldo Cruz2013

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Understanding, predicting, and controlling outbreaks of waterborne diseases are crucial goals of public health policies, but pose challenging problems because infection patterns are influenced by spatial structure and temporal asynchrony. Although explicit ...

Natl Acad Sciences2012