Quantification of modelling uncertainties in climate change impact studies on water resources
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Changing climatic conditions and increase of extreme events induced by climate change have impacts on non- adapted infrastructures, leading to destruction, damage costs and indirect impacts. To adapt infrastructures to those new conditions, there is a need ...
This thesis presents work at the junction of statistics and climate science. We first provide methodology for use by climate scientists when performing fast event attribution using extreme value theory, and then describe two interdisciplinary projects in c ...
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Representing single or multi-layered mixed-phase clouds (MPCs) accurately in global climate models (GCMs) is critical for capturing climate sensitivity and Arctic amplification. Ice multiplication, or secondary ice production (SIP), can increase the ice cr ...
The COP26 Glasgow process resulted in many countries strengthening their 2030 emissions reduction targets and announcing net-zero pledges for 2050–2070 but it is not clear how this would impact future warming. Here, we use four diverse integrated assessmen ...
A tighter integration of modeling frameworks for climate and air quality is urgently needed to assess the impacts of clean air policies on future Arctic and global climate. We combined a new model emulator and comprehensive emissions scenarios for air poll ...
This study describes and evaluates a new downscaling scheme that specifically addresses the need for hillslope-scale atmospheric-forcing time series for modelling the local impact of regional climate change projections on the land surface in complex terrai ...
Long-term changes in precipitation and temperature indirectly impact aquifers through groundwater recharge (GWR). Although estimates of future GWR are needed for water resource management, they are uncertain in cold and humid climates due to the wide range ...
We use the latest Coordinated Regional Dynamical Experiment regional climate models over South Asia at 0.22 degrees grid spacing (WAS-22) under two Representative Concentration Pathways scenarios (RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5) to evaluate their performance against ...
This work presents the first extensive study of climate change impacts on rivers temperature in Switzerland. Results show that even for low emissions scenarios, water temperature increase will lead to adverse effect for both ecosystems and socioeconomic se ...
All options for removing CO2 from the atmosphere and sequestering it for the long term must be assessed for their potential to contribute to reducing climate change risk, but also for their uncertainties, limits and possible adverse impacts. ...