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Publications associées (11)

Predicting party switching through machine learning and open data

Parliament dynamics might seem erratic at times. Predicting future voting patterns could support policy design based on the simulation of voting scenarios. The availability of open data on legislative activities and machine learning tools might enable such ...

CELL PRESS2023

The probability of intransitivity in dice and close elections

Jan Hazla

We study the phenomenon of intransitivity in models of dice and voting. First, we follow a recent thread of research for n-sided dice with pairwise ordering induced by the probability, relative to 1/2, that a throw from one die is higher than the other. We ...

2020

Sub-Matrix Factorization for Real-Time Vote Prediction

Patrick Thiran, Matthias Grossglauser, Victor Kristof

We address the problem of predicting aggregate vote outcomes (e.g., national) from partial outcomes (e.g., regional) that are revealed sequentially. We combine matrix factorization techniques and generalized linear models (GLMs) to obtain a flexible, effic ...

2020

The geographic evolution of political cleavages in Switzerland: A network approach to assessing levels and dynamics of polarization between local populations

Shin Alexandre Koseki

Scholarly studies and common accounts of national politics enjoy pointing out the resilience of ideological divides among populations. Building on the image of political cleavages and geographic polarization, the regionalization of politics has become a tr ...

2018

Multi-Atlas based Segmentation of Head and Neck CT Images using Active Contour Framework

Jean-Philippe Thiran, Meritxell Bach Cuadra, Subrahmanyam Venkata Ravi Mohana Sai Gorthi

This paper presents the segmentation of bilateral parotid glands in the Head and Neck (H&N) CT images using an active contour based atlas registration. We compare segmentation results from three atlas selection strategies: (i) selection of “single-most-sim ...

2010

Does Strategic Voting Undermine the Success of an International Environmental Agreement?

Juan Carlos Altamirano Cabrera

We study the effect of strategic voting on the success and stability of international environmental agreements (IEAs). We assume that voters elect the government that negotiates an IEA in a framework of two asymmetric countries without transfers. We find t ...

2008

'I pay enough taxes already!' Applying economic voting models to environmental referendums

Philippe Thalmann, Nicholas Bornstein

Objectives. Models of economic voting have rarely been applied to referendum votes. We fill this gap by testing citizens’ voting behavior on environmental policy in relation to their perception of the business cycle. Thus, the study examines the personal, ...

2008

Declining support for environmental policy? Applying economic voting models to referendums

Philippe Thalmann, Nicholas Bornstein

This study examines the personal, institutional and macroeconomic determinants of individual votes on 36 environmental protection proposals put to vote over twenty-one years in Switzerland. It applies a hierarchical model allowing for heterogeneous voter m ...

2006

System boundary selection in life-cycle inventories using hybrid approaches

Life-cycle assessment (LCA) is a method for evaluating the environmental impacts of products holistically, including direct and supply chain impacts. The current LCA methodologies and the standards by the International Organization for Standardization (ISO ...

2004

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