Concept
Anticipation adaptative
Publications associées (15)
Survey experiments on economic expectations
In this chapter, we discuss field experiments in surveys that are conducted with the purpose of learning about expectation formation and the link between expectations and behavior. We begin by reviewing the rationale for conducting experiments within surve ...
Academic Press2023Essays in Monetary Policy and Asset Pricing
This thesis uses machine learning techniques and text data to investigate the relationships that arise between the Fed and financial markets, and their consequences for asset prices.The first chapter, entitled Market Expectations and the Impact of Unconven ...
EPFL2022Bias at a Second Glance: A Deep Dive into Bias for German Educational Peer-Review Data Modeling
Vinitra Swamy, Thiemo Wambsganss
Natural Language Processing (NLP) has become increasingly utilized to provide adaptivity in educational applications. However, recent research has highlighted a variety of biases in pre-trained language models. While existing studies investigate bias in di ...
2022The Future of Civic Technologies for the Involvement of Citizens in Urban Planning: 3D Urban Participatory e-Planning in the Spotlight
The development of sustainable urban projects is crucial to address the challenges of the growing population living in cities. Facing complex decision-making and increasing expectations from inhabitants, local institutions are gradually becoming open to co ...
EPFL2022Higgs inflation in Einstein-Cartan gravity
Andrey Shkerin, Inar Timiryasov, Sebastian Zell
We study inflation driven by the Higgs field in the Einstein-Cartan formulation of gravity. In this theory, the presence of the Holst and Nieh-Yan terms with the Higgs field non-minimally coupled to them leads to three additional coupling constants. For a ...
IOP PUBLISHING LTD2021Job turnover, expectations, and the Phillips Curve
Job turnover makes a wage Phillips Curve less forward-looking, with a smaller coefficient for inflation expectations. Workers discount future wage income with a low discount factor if there is a strong flow of job turnover; this implies that future inflati ...
2019Die multiplen Rechenschaftspflichten von öffentlichen Unternehmen gegenüber dem Staat - Eine empirische Typologie der Entstehung und des Managements inkohärenter Erwartungen
State-owned enterprises (SOEs) provide important services such as power supply, postal services and public transportation. In doing this, SOEs operate at the intersection of political/regulatory and economic expectations. Therefore, SOEs are commonly consi ...
EPFL2019L'urbanisme de l'entre-deux
The democratization of vehicles has often reduced the public space to a place of circulation. For the last fifteen years, the habits of mobility have evolved: a system centered around the automobile leaves room for compositions between different modes of d ...
EPFL2018Expectations-driven cycles in the housing market
This paper explores the transmission of "news shocks" in a model of the housing market and shows that anticipated signals or beliefs of future macroeconomic developments can generate boom-bust cycles in the housing market and lead to business cycle fluctua ...
2017Expectation-Driven Cycles in the Housing Market: Evidence from Survey Data
Using a vector-autoregression (VAR) model and data from the University of Michigan Survey of Consumers, we provide evidence on the importance of news and consumers' beliefs for housing-market dynamics and aggregate fluctuations. We document that innovation ...
2013