Concept

Bayesian epistemology

Publications associées (66)

Stochastic pairwise preference convergence in Bayesian agents

Beliefs inform the behaviour of forward-thinking agents in complex environments. Recently, sequential Bayesian inference has emerged as a mechanism to study belief formation among agents adapting to dynamical conditions. However, we lack critical theory to ...

2024

A FEM modelling workflow to simulate THM effects in the rock around nuclear waste packages

Matthias Timothee Stanislas Wojnarowicz

High-level waste, stemming from nuclear electricity generation poses significant environmental and safety concerns. Currently, high-level wastes are stored in interim facilities needing constant monitoring and waiting for a definitive solution. Deep geolog ...

EPFL2024

From Probability Graphical Models to Dynamic Networks — A Bayesian perspective on Smooth Best Estimate of Trajectory with applications in Geodetic Engineering

Laurent Valentin Jospin, Jesse Ray Murray Lahaye

Bayesian statistics is concerned with the integration of new information obtained through observations with prior knowledge, and accordingly, is often related to information theory (Jospin 2022). Recursive Bayesian estimation methods, such as Kalman Filter ...

2023

From domestic energy demand to household activity patterns

Michel Bierlaire, Timothy Michael Hillel, Negar Rezvany

Residential building energy usage can be considered as being derived from the activity patterns of individuals inside the home. As such an activity-based energy demand model that can create in-home energy usage profiles from household activity patterns is ...

2023

Bayesian Inversion for Nonlinear Imaging Models Using Deep Generative Priors

Michaël Unser, Thanh-An Michel Pham, Pakshal Narendra Bohra, Jonathan Yuelin Dong

Most modern imaging systems incorporate a computational pipeline to infer the image of interest from acquired measurements. The Bayesian approach to solve such ill-posed inverse problems involves the characterization of the posterior distribution of the im ...

2022

Bayesian Decision Making in Groups is Hard

Jan Hazla

We study the computations that Bayesian agents undertake when exchanging opinions over a network. The agents act repeatedly on their private information and take myopic actions that maximize their expected utility according to a fully rational posterior be ...

INFORMS2021

A Variational Inference Approach to Learning Multivariate Wold Processes

Patrick Thiran, Matthias Grossglauser, Negar Kiyavash, Seyed Jalal Etesami, William Trouleau

Temporal point-processes are often used for mathematical modeling of sequences of discrete events with asynchronous timestamps. We focus on a class of temporal point-process models called multivariate Wold processes (MWP). These processes are well suited t ...

PMLR2021

Adaptive Path Interpolation Method for Sparse Systems: Application to a Censored Block Model

Nicolas Macris, Jean François Emmanuel Barbier, Chun Lam Chan

Recently, a new adaptive path interpolation method has been developed as a simple and versatile scheme to calculate exactly the asymptotic mutual information of Bayesian inference problems defined on dense factor graphs. These include random linear and gen ...

IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC2021

Learning Self-Exciting Temporal Point Processes Under Noisy Observations

William Trouleau

Understanding the diffusion patterns of sequences of interdependent events is a central question for a variety of disciplines. Temporal point processes are a class of elegant and powerful models of such sequences; these processes have become popular across ...

EPFL2021

Uncertainty-aware Model Inversion Networks

Romain Essy Théo Gratier De Saint-Louis

In this thesis, we assess a new framework called UMIN on a data-driven optimization problem. Such a problem happens recurrently in real life and can quickly become dicult to model when the input has a high dimensionality as images for instance. From the ar ...

2020

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