Publications de Anthony Christopher Davison

Anthony C Davison and Igor Rodionov's contribution to the Discussion of 'Estimating means of bounded random variables by betting' by Waudby-Smith and Ramdas

Anthony Christopher Davison, Igor Rodionov

We derive confidence intervals (CIs) and confidence sequences (CSs) for the classical problem of estimating a bounded mean. Our approach generalizes and improves on the celebrated Chernoff method, yielding the best closed-form "empirical-Bernstein" CSs and ...

Oxford Univ Press2024

Space-Time Extremes of Severe U.S. Thunderstorm Environments

Anthony Christopher Davison

Severe thunderstorms cause substantial economic and human losses in the United States. Simultaneous high values of convective available potential energy (CAPE) and storm relative helicity (SRH) are favorable to severe weather, and both they and the composi ...

2024

Anthony C. Davison and Raphael de Fondeville's contribution to the Discussion of 'Inference for extreme spatial temperature events in a changing climate with application to Ireland' by Healy et al

Anthony Christopher Davison

OXFORD UNIV PRESS2024

BAYESIAN MODELING OF INSURANCE CLAIMS FOR HAIL DAMAGE

Anthony Christopher Davison

Despite its importance for insurance, there is almost no literature on statistical hail damage modeling. Statistical models for hailstorms exist, though they are generally not open-source, but no study appears to have developed a stochastic hail impact fun ...

2024

Timing and spatial selection bias in rapid extreme event attribution

Anthony Christopher Davison, Ophélia Mireille Anna Miralles

Selection bias may arise when data have been chosen in a way that subsequent analysis does not account for. Such bias can arise in climate event attribution studies that are performed rapidly after a devastating "trigger event'', whose occurrence correspon ...

ELSEVIER2023

Some Reminiscences of David Cox

Anthony Christopher Davison

MIT PRESS2023

Improved inference for a boundary parameter

Anthony Christopher Davison, Soumaya Elkantassi

The limiting distributions of statistics used to test hypotheses about parameters on the boundary of their domains may provide very poor approximations to the finite-sample behaviour of these statistics, even for very large samples. We review theoretical w ...

WILEY2023

Valerie Chavez-Demoulin, Anthony C Davison and Erwan Koch's contribution to the Discussion of 'The First Discussion Meeting on Statistical aspects of climate change'

Anthony Christopher Davison, Valérie Chavez, Erwan Fabrice Koch

OXFORD UNIV PRESS2023

A note on universal inference

Anthony Christopher Davison, Timmy Rong Tian Tse

Universal inference enables the construction of confidence intervals and tests without regularity conditions by splitting the data into two parts and appealing to Markov's inequality. Previous investigations have shown that the cost of this generality is a ...

WILEY2022

Space Oddity? A Statistical Formulation of Conjunction Assessment

Anthony Christopher Davison, Soumaya Elkantassi

Satellite conjunctions involving "near misses" of space objects are becoming increasingly likely. One approach to risk analysis for them involves the computation of the collision probability, but this has been regarded as having some counterintuitive prope ...

AMER INST AERONAUTICS ASTRONAUTICS2022