Publications de Sebastian Engelke

Extremal behaviour of aggregated data with an application to downscaling

Sebastian Engelke, Raphaël Gérard Théodore Michel Marie de Deloÿe et Fourcade de Fondeville

The distribution of spatially aggregated data from a stochastic process may exhibit tail behaviour different from that of its marginal distributions. For a large class of aggregating functionals we introduce the -extremal coefficient, which quantifies this ...

OXFORD UNIV PRESS2019

Optimal regionalization of extreme value distributions for flood estimation

Anthony Christopher Davison, Sebastian Engelke, Peiman Asadi

Regionalization methods have long been used to estimate high return levels of river discharges at ungauged locations on a river network. In these methods, discharge measurements from a homogeneous group of similar, gauged, stations are used to estimate hig ...

2018

Dependence properties of spatial rainfall extremes and areal reduction factors

Anthony Christopher Davison, Sebastian Engelke

Areal reduction factors (ARFs) transform an estimate of extreme rainfall at a point to an estimate of extreme rainfall over a spatial domain, and are commonly used in flood risk estimation. For applications such as the design of large infrastructure, dam s ...

2018

Generalized Pickands constants and stationary max-stable processes

Sebastian Engelke

Pickands constants play a crucial role in the asymptotic theory of Gaussian processes. They are commonly defined as the limits of a sequence of expectations involving fractional Brownian motions and, as such, their exact value is often unknown. Recently, D ...

Springer Verlag2017

Robust Bounds In Multivariate Extremes

Sebastian Engelke

Extreme value theory provides an asymptotically justified framework for estimation of exceedance probabilities in regions where few or no observations are available. For multivariate tail estimation, the strength of extremal dependence is crucial and it is ...

Institute of Mathematical Statistics2017

Exact simulation of max-stable processes

Sebastian Engelke, Clément Dombry

Max-stable processes play an important role as models for spatial extreme events. Their complex structure as the pointwise maximum over an infinite number of random functions makes their simulation difficult. Algorithms based on finite approximations are o ...

Oxford University Press2016

A characterization of the normal distribution using stationary max-stable processes

Sebastian Engelke

Consider a max-stable process of the form , , where are points of the Poisson process with intensity u (-2)du on (0,a), X (i) , , are independent copies of a random d-variate vector X (that are independent of the Poisson process), and is a function. We sho ...

Springer Verlag2016

A Levy-derived process seen from its supremum and max-stable processes

Sebastian Engelke

We consider a process Z on the real line composed from a Levy process and its exponentially tilted version killed with arbitrary rates and give an expression for the joint law of the supremum (Z) over bar, its time T, and the process Z(T + center dot) - (Z ...

Univ Washington, Dept Mathematics2016

Extremal behavior of squared Bessel processes attracted by the Brown-Resnick process

Sebastian Engelke

The convergence of properly time-scaled and normalized maxima of independent standard Brownian motions to the Brown-Resnick process is well-known in the literature. In this paper, we study the extremal functional behavior of non-Gaussian processes, namely ...

Elsevier Science Bv2015

Max-stable processes and stationary systems of Levy particles

Sebastian Engelke

We study stationary max-stable processes {n(t): t is an element of R} admitting a representation of the form n(t) = max(i is an element of N) (U-i +Y-i(t)), where Sigma(infinity)(i=1) delta U-i is a Poisson point process on R with intensity e(-u)du, and Y1 ...

Elsevier2015