Publications de Damiano Pasetto

Spatially explicit effective reproduction numbers from incidence and mobility data

Andrea Rinaldo, Cristiano Trevisin, Enrico Bertuzzo, Lorenzo Mari, Damiano Pasetto, Marino Gatto

Current methods for near real-time estimation of effective reproduction numbers from surveillance data overlook mobility fluxes of infectors and susceptible individuals within a spatially connected network (the metapopulation). Exchanges of infections amon ...

2023

Optimal control of the spatial allocation of COVID-19 vaccines: Italy as a case study

Andrea Rinaldo, Enrico Bertuzzo, Joseph Chadi Benoit Lemaitre, Lorenzo Mari, Damiano Pasetto, Mario Zanon, Marino Gatto

While campaigns of vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 are underway across the world, communities face the challenge of a fair and effective distribution of a limited supply of doses. Current vaccine allocation strategies are based on criteria such as age or ri ...

2022

Epidemicity of cholera spread and the fate of infection control measures

Andrea Rinaldo, Cristiano Trevisin, Lorenzo Mari, Joseph Chadi Benoit Lemaitre, Damiano Pasetto, Marino Gatto

The fate of ongoing infectious disease outbreaks is predicted through reproduction numbers, defining the long-term establishment of the infection, and epidemicity indices, tackling the reactivity of the infectious pool to new contagions. Prognostic metrics ...

2022

The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures

Andrea Rinaldo, Enrico Bertuzzo, Lorenzo Mari, Damiano Pasetto, Marino Gatto

The pressing need to restart socioeconomic activities locked-down to control the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Italy must be coupled with effective methodologies to selectively relax containment measures. Here we employ a spatially explicit model, properly atten ...

Nature Research2020

Mosquito-Borne Disease and Human Mobility in Urban Environments

Andrea Rinaldo, Claudia Rebeca Binder Signer, Damiano Pasetto, Emanuele Massaro

Cambridge University Press2020

Earth and field observations underpin metapopulation dynamics in complex landscapes: Near-term study on carabids

Andrea Rinaldo, Damiano Pasetto, Francisco Javier Perez Saez, Jonathan Giezendanner

Understanding risks to biodiversity requires predictions of the spatial distribution of species adapting to changing ecosystems and, to that end, Earth observations integrating field surveys prove essential as they provide key numbers for assessing landsca ...

2020

A minimalist model of extinction and range dynamics of virtual mountain species driven by warming temperatures

Andrea Rinaldo, Enrico Bertuzzo, Damiano Pasetto, Jonathan Giezendanner

A longstanding question in ecology concerns the prediction of the fate of mountain species under climate change, where climatic and geomorphic factors but also endogenous species characteristics are jointly expected to control species distributions. A sign ...

2019

Rainfall as a driver of epidemic cholera: Comparative model assessments of the effect of intra-seasonal precipitation events

Andrea Rinaldo, Damiano Pasetto, Francisco Javier Perez Saez, Joseph Chadi Benoit Lemaitre, Carla Sciarra

The correlation between cholera epidemics and climatic drivers, in particular seasonal tropical rainfall, has been studied in a variety of contexts owing to its documented relevance. Several mechanistic models of cholera transmission have included rainfall ...

2019

Near real-time forecasting for cholera decision making in Haiti after Hurricane Matthew

Andrea Rinaldo, Enrico Bertuzzo, Flavio Finger, Damiano Pasetto, Joseph Chadi Benoit Lemaitre

2018

Integration of satellite remote sensing data in ecosystem modelling at local scales: Practices and trends

Andrea Rinaldo, Lorenzo Mari, Damiano Pasetto

2018