Publication

A tutorial on (Bayesian) probability

Publications associées (89)

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Anton Schleiss, Michael Pfister, José Pedro Gamito de Saldanha Calado Matos, Paloma Furlan

Dam safety is strongly linked to the probability of occurrence of large floods. Floods can transport large wood (LW) into reservoirs and towards water release structures as spillways. Due to blocking and clogging, LW may significantly influence the dischar ...

Utah State University2018

Stable high-order randomized cubature formulae in arbitrary dimension

Fabio Nobile, Giovanni Migliorati

We propose and analyse randomized cubature formulae for the numerical integration of functions with respect to a given probability measure μ defined on a domain Γ⊆ℝ^d, in any dimension d. Each cubature formula is conceived to be exact on a given finite dim ...

2018

The Complexity of a Reliable Distributed System

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Studying the complexity of distributed algorithms typically boils down to evaluating how the number of messages exchanged (resp. communication steps performed or shared memory operations executed) by nodes to reliably achieve some common task, evolves with ...

2017

Csma/ca in time and frequency domains

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The present invention concerns a method for a communication device to transmit a data packet in a wireless communication system. The method comprises: determining (21) a first set of transmission parameters comprising a first central transmission frequency ...

2017

Development of a methodology for extreme flood estimations in alpine catchments for the verification of dam safety

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In the context of dam safety, reliable safety flood estimation methods are necessary to guarantee a sufficiently designed spillway capacity. Todayâs state of the art allows to approach this topic under different angles. Statistical extrapolations are com ...

EPFL2017

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We present a probabilistic approach to quantify the hazard posed by volcanic ballistic projectiles (VBP) and their potential impact on the built environment. A model named Great Balls of Fire (GBF) is introduced to describe ballistic trajectories of VBPs a ...

Elsevier Science Bv2016

Probabilistic Derivation of Spatiotemporal Correlation Functions in the Hydrodynamic Limit

Sara Bonella, Mauro Ferrario

In this paper, we use probability theory to prove in suitable conditions the equivalence of equilibrium time correlation functions of microscopic density fields with the time correlation functions of local macroscopic density fields evolved by hydrodynamic ...

Amer Chemical Soc2016

The effects of spatial attention on temporal integration

Michael Herzog, Marc Michael Lauffs

Feature fusion reflects temporal integration. Previous studies mostly employed foveal presentations with no attention manipulation. In this study we examined the effects of sustained spatial attention on temporal integration using feature-fusion with perip ...

Sage Publications Ltd2016

A Robust Resolution of Newcomb's Paradox

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Newcomb's problem is viewed as a dynamic game with an agent and a superior being as players. Depending on whether or not a risk-neutral agent's confidence in the superior being, as measured by a subjective probability assigned to the move order, exceeds a ...

2016

Systems and methods for tracking interacting objects

Pascal Fua, François Fleuret, Engin Türetken, Xinchao Wang

Systems and methods for tracking interacting objects may acquire, with a sensor, and two or more images associated with two or more time instances. A processor may generate image data from the two or more images. The processor may apply an extended Probabi ...

2015

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