Why hydrological predictions should be evaluated using information theory
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Demand forecasting consists of using data of the past demand to obtain an approximation of the future demand. Mathematical approaches can lead to reliable forecasts in deterministic context through extrapolating regular patterns in time-series. However, un ...
Demand forecasting consists of using data of the past demand to obtain an approximation of the future demand. Mathematical approaches can lead to reliable forecasts in deterministic context, extrapolating regular patterns in series. However unpredictable e ...
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This paper presents a score that can be used for evaluating probabilistic forecasts of multicategory events. The score is a reinterpretation of the logarithmic score or ignorance score, now formulated as the relative entropy or Kullback–Leibler divergence ...
The COST-731 action is focused on uncertainty propagation in hydrometeorological forecasting chains. Goals and activities of the action Working Group 2 are presented. Five foci for discussion and research have been identified: (1) understand uncertainties, ...
Understanding how organisms deal with probabilistic stimulus-reward associations has been advanced by a convergence between reinforcement learning models and primate physiology, which demonstrated that the brain encodes a reward prediction error signal. Ho ...
Departure time choice modeling has been part of main stream travel behavior research for more than three decades. Congestion management schemes are based on the assumption that travelers optimize their departure time choice. Ever since Vickrey, in the late ...
We examine the problem of multiple sources transmitting information to one or more receivers that require the information from all the sources, over a network where the network nodes perform randomized network coding. We consider the noncoherent case, wher ...
The ageing of existing structures and new innovative designs are increasing the necessity for a greater understanding of structural behaviour. A better understanding would improve effectiveness of activities such as assessing reserve capacity, evaluating l ...
Distributed Video Coding (DVC) is a new video coding paradigm based on two major Information Theory results: the Splepian-Wolf and Wyner-Ziv theorems. Recently, practical DVC solutions have been proposed with promising results; however, there is still a ne ...
Claude Elwood Shannon in 1948, then of the Bell Labs, published one of the ground breaking papers in the history of engineering [1]. This paper (”A Mathematical Theory of Communication”, Bell System Tech. Journal, Vol. 27, July and October 1948, pp. 379 - ...