Publication
Estimating uncertainty of alcohol-attributable fractions for infectious and chronic diseases
Publications associées (56)
Anthony C Davison and Igor Rodionov's contribution to the Discussion of 'Estimating means of bounded random variables by betting' by Waudby-Smith and Ramdas
Anthony Christopher Davison, Igor Rodionov
We derive confidence intervals (CIs) and confidence sequences (CSs) for the classical problem of estimating a bounded mean. Our approach generalizes and improves on the celebrated Chernoff method, yielding the best closed-form "empirical-Bernstein" CSs and ...
Oxford2024Re-evaluating the mythical divide between traditional and novel cardiovascular risk factors in rheumatoid arthritis
Cardiovascular (CV) risk factors for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) are conventionally classified as 'traditional' and 'novel'. We argue that this classification is obsolete and potentially counterproductive. Further, we discuss problems with the common practic ...
London2024Uncertainty-aware Flexibility Envelope Prediction in Buildings with Controller-agnostic Battery Models
Colin Neil Jones, Paul Scharnhorst, Rafael Eduardo Carrillo Rangel, Pierre-Jean Alet, Baptiste Schubnel
Buildings are a promising source of flexibility for the application of demand response. In this work, we introduce a novel battery model formulation to capture the state evolution of a single building. Being fully data-driven, the battery model identificat ...
IEEE2023A note on universal inference
Anthony Christopher Davison, Timmy Rong Tian Tse
Universal inference enables the construction of confidence intervals and tests without regularity conditions by splitting the data into two parts and appealing to Markov's inequality. Previous investigations have shown that the cost of this generality is a ...
WILEY2022Uncertainty-aware Flexibility Envelope Prediction in Buildings with Controller-agnostic Battery Models
Colin Neil Jones, Paul Scharnhorst, Rafael Eduardo Carrillo Rangel, Pierre-Jean Alet, Baptiste Schubnel
Buildings are a promising source of flexibility for the application of demand response. In this work, we introduce a novel battery model formulation to capture the state evolution of a single building. Being fully data-driven, the battery model identificat ...
2022Effect of specific non-pharmaceutical intervention policies on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the counties of the United States
Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) remain the only widely available tool for controlling the ongoing SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. We estimated weekly values of the effective basic reproductive number (R-eff) using a mechanistic metapopulation model and associ ...
NATURE RESEARCH2021Developing a UV climatology for public health purposes using satellite data
Athanasios Nenes, David Vernez
The effects of solar ultraviolet (UV) radiation on life on Earth differ greatly. While overexposure to UV rays is harmful, small amounts of exposure are necessary for the synthesis of Vitamin D and good health. To optimize individual exposure to solar UV, ...
2021