Great Balls of Fire: A probabilistic approach to quantify the hazard related to ballistics – A case study at La Fossa volcano, Vulcano Island, Italy
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Recently, evidence has emerged that humans approach learning using Bayesian updating rather than (model-free) reinforcement algorithms in a six-arm restless bandit problem. Here, we investigate what this implies for human appreciation of uncertainty. In ou ...
We consider a two-type contact process on Z in which both types have equal finite range and supercritical infection rate. We show that a given type becomes extinct with probability 1 if and only if, in the initial configuration, it is confined to a finite ...
The main objective of the thesis is the study and the determination of an optimal navigation strategy, for a sailboat in an America's Cup race, by methods of stochastic optimization. Such methods are appropriate because the sailing team expects the wind to ...
Using optical sideband cooling, a micromechanical oscillator is cooled to a phonon occupancy below 10 phonons, corresponding to a probability of finding it in its quantum ground state more than 10% of the time. ...
Ieee Service Center, 445 Hoes Lane, Po Box 1331, Piscataway, Nj 08855-1331 Usa2011
This paper presents an approach for model identifiability that builds upon recent research into measurement data interpretation. The objective of this approach is to determine probabilistically to what degree the number of models able to explain a measured ...
We run a comparative study of ecohydrological models of streamflow probability distributions (pdfs), p(Q), derived by Botter et al. (2007a, 2009), against field data gathered in different hydrological contexts. Streamflows measured in several catchments ac ...
Attention can be stimulus-driven and bottom-up or goal-driven and top-down. Bottom-up attention and, particularly, attentional capture are often thought to be strongly automatic, i.e., not modulable. For example, in visual search, it has been shown that sa ...
Association for Research in Vision and Ophthalmology2010
Occupants exercise adaptive actions in response to discomforting environmental stimuli in an attempt to restore their comfort. These responses to adaptive actions are either ignored (conventional PMV models) or handled in an aggregated way (adaptive therma ...
The goal of this column is to help working clinicians understand the statistical calculations involved in interpreting the results of diagnostic questionnaires. Using the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 as an example, the author explains how to determine th ...
While evidence suggests that people evaluate outcomes with respect to reference points, little is known about what determines them. We conduct two experiments that show that reference points are determined, at least in part, by expectations. In an exchange ...
