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This paper studies kernel ridge regression in high dimensions under covariate shifts and analyzes the role of importance re-weighting. We first derive the asymptotic expansion of high dimensional kernels under covariate shifts. By a bias-variance decomposition, we theoretically demonstrate that the re-weighting strategy allows for decreasing the variance. For bias, we analyze the regularization of the arbitrary or well-chosen scale, showing that the bias can behave very differently under different regularization scales. In our analysis, the bias and variance can be characterized by the spectral decay of a data-dependent regularized kernel: the original kernel matrix associated with an additional re-weighting matrix, and thus the re-weighting strategy can be regarded as a data-dependent regularization for better understanding. Besides, our analysis provides asymptotic expansion of kernel functions/vectors under covariate shift, which has its own interest.
Nicolas Henri Bernard Flammarion, Scott William Pesme
Florent Gérard Krzakala, Lenka Zdeborová, Hugo Chao Cui