Summer

Summary

Summer is the hottest of the four temperate seasons, occurring after spring and before autumn. At or centred on the summer solstice, daylight hours are longest and darkness hours are shortest, with day length decreasing as the season progresses after the solstice. The earliest sunrises and latest sunsets also occur near the date of the solstice. The date of the beginning of summer varies according to climate, tradition, and culture. When it is summer in the Northern Hemisphere, it is winter in the Southern Hemisphere, and vice versa. Timing From an astronomical view, the equinoxes and solstices would be the middle of the respective seasons, but sometimes astronomical summer is defined as starting at the solstice, the time of maximal insolation, often identified with 21 June or 21 December. By solar reckoning, summer instead starts on May Day and the summer solstice is Midsummer. A variable seasonal lag means that the meteorological centre of the season, which is based on av

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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Summer

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Statistical Analysis of Mountain Permafrost Temperatures

Evelyn Zenklusen Mutter

The consequences of climate change are clearly visible in the Swiss Alps. In the past decades, increasing air temperatures have induced pronounced glacier retreat and permafrost thawing. Thawing permafrost in steep terrain is a potential natural hazard, as it can become unstable and trigger mass movements such as settlement, debris flows or rock fall. The WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF has been measuring ground temperatures and displacements in permafrost boreholes for more than a decade. This thesis aimed to analyse these ground temperatures with statistical methods, assessing possible changes, trends and physical coherencies. In a first step, temporal changes in daily ground temperatures measured in two adjacent boreholes at Muot da Barba Peider in the Eastern Swiss Alps were analysed. Statistical models, which could for example describe changes in the amplitudes or in the mean, were used to estimate possible trends. The results for the period 1996 - 2008 revealed increasing summer temperature for the upper ground layers, whereas winter temperatures had decreased. For the frozen rock below 10 m however, a general temperature increase was found. Although increasing summer temperatures were consistent with the development of the air temperatures, decreasing winter temperatures could be attributed to a thin early winter snow depth. The general warming trend in the deeper layers was assigned to increased heat transfer through the mountain ridge of Muot da Barba Peider induced by warming air temperatures and lower snow depths. These results confirm that permafrost temperatures in the Alps are influenced by factors such as snow cover, surface properties, hydrology and topography. Increasing air temperatures do not necessarily induce permafrost thawing. Special attention was paid to the so-called "active layer", the topmost ground layer above permafrost, which seasonally thaws in summer. An increase in its thickness implies a potential increase of the material which might be released in a mass movement. Typical active layer characteristics have been analysed and compared for ten different permafrost sites. Whereas over the past decade, the active layer remained rather constant at the individual sites, significant differences due to local terrain properties were visible. The comparison of the daily development of the active layer thickness with that of the thawing degree days revealed that ice-rich ground layers delay the active layer development efficiently and thus isolate the permafrost from warm air temperatures. Two of the ten sites, however, revealed abrupt active layer deepening due to lateral air and/or water flows. Further investigation of the dependence between air and ground temperature was performed. Transfer function models were used to quantify the relation between air and ground temperatures measured at 0.5 m depth at seven different permafrost sites. The results showed that the delay between daily changes in the air and ground temperature ranges from one to six days, depending on the site. The most efficient relation was found for a very coarse-blocky rock glacier site, whereas scree slopes with smaller grain sizes showed a weaker and more prolonged relation. The main heat transfer mechanism in permafrost is conduction, but due to phase change, air or water flows, heat can also be transferred non-conductively. A statistical procedure including spectral analysis, order-restricted inference and a false discovery rate procedure has been developed to detect depths and frequencies at which significant non-conductive heat transfer processes occur. The application of the procedure to two-hourly borehole temperatures measured at Muot da Barba Peider revealed significant non-conductive heat transfer for the period 2005 - 2009 only in an ice-rich layer between 1 and 1.9 m depth. To gain deeper insight into the processes occurring shorter (three-week) periods have been analysed. The results showed non-conductive heat transfer processes that could be attributed to phase changes at the freezing front and at the base of the active layer in autumn, to convective air and vapour flows through the frozen scree in winter, and to phase changes and meltwater infiltration during the thawing period in spring. Analyses of borehole temperatures also revealed special phenomena. A case study for the famous permafrost site at Flüela Pass showed that the permafrost body inside the scree slope, close to the lake has degraded from 7 m to 3.5 m thickness within four years. This rapid permafrost degradation could be attributed to a seasonal ventilation system inside the scree, leading to condensation which melts the permafrost body from below. Increasing lake water temperatures might accelerate the phenomenon. The ground temperatures analysed in this work include about one decade of measurements and therefore are too short for climate-related statements. However, the statistical analyses performed give an interesting insight into the development of permafrost ground temperatures during the past ten years and their interaction with air temperature and local properties. The presented results furthermore emphasize the strong spatial variability of the ground thermal regime in mountain permafrost.

EPFL2012

We compared open-site and below-canopy climatic conditions from 14 different sites in Switzerland based on LWF data (Long-term Forest Ecosystem Research). The 14 sites represent different locations, orientations and elevations, from the Jura Mountains to the southern side of the Alps, composed of deciduous, coniferous and mixed forests. Meteorological measurements were carried out under the canopy at the observation plots, and in open areas outside the forest plots. We analysed air temperature during summer 2003, in connection with the exceptionally high temperatures measured during that summer and during the 11-day August heat wave. From April to October 2003, there was a significant correlation between the absolute value of temperature and the difference between open-site and below-canopy temperature: the warmer the temperature, the stronger the impact of the forest. For maximum temperature, the difference was higher in deciduous and mixed forests, especially those with beech as the dominant tree species, compared to conifer forests. For minimum temperature, the discrepancy was higher in conifer forests but, generally, the north-oriented slopes showed greater differences than the other slopes. The results are similar for a decade period of temperature analysis between below-canopy and open-field, from 1998 to 2007. We also compared below-canopy and open-field data for minimum, maximum and daily mean temperature, relative humidity (RH), maximum and daily mean photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) and wind speed (m/s) from 1998 to 2007. We analysed the forest influence on local summer and winter climate according to the forest type (coniferous, mixed, deciduous), soil type, basal area (m2/ha) and tree height (m). In summer, deciduous and mixed forests generally have the strongest impact on daytime temperatures, from 3 to 5 K cooler under the canopy, with a higher RH, up to 17%. Coniferous forests have a moderating effect on night temperatures, from 1 to 4 K warmer below-canopy, with a lower HR, from 4 to 15% less humid under the canopy. In winter, the forest lowered the day-time temperatures, from 0.2 to 5K, accordingly to the orientation and the dominant specie, and generally increased night-time temperatures, up to 6.2 K in north-oriented conifer sites. The day-time RH was enhanced in all forest types compared to open-field, from 5 to 22%, except in an open Scots pine forest, and the night-time RH was generally reduced below-canopy, especially in coniferous stands, being up to 22% less humid below-canopy in pine forests. We applied the Heat Index (HI) and the NET (Net effective temperature) index to the open-field and below-canopy meteorological data (maximum temperature, relative humidity and wind speed) in order to determine the bioclimatic potential of the different forest stands in summer from 1998 to 2007, and more specifically during the summer 2003 heat wave. We applied the NET index and the Windchill index to determine the forest bioclimatic potential for human wellbeing during winter from 1998 to 2007. In summer, generally, the bioclimatic conditions were clearly more comfortable for humans in the forest than in open-field. When the conditions came out as very hot or requiring extreme caution in open-field, they were in the more comfortable zone in the deciduous and mixed forest at hill and mountain level. This was particularly evident during the exceptionally hot summer of 2003. In winter, bioclimatic conditions were also more comfortable below-canopy, mainly due to the forest effectively reducing wind speed. In order to cope with the likely increasing frequency and intensity of heat waves, our results show and quantify the role of forests in providing a cool shelter. The results are of particular value to urban areas, where forested parks could provide an important source of relief during heatwaves. It is therefore necessary to maintain and develop the accessibility of forested areas to city dwellers. Accordingly to our sample, the most efficient ecosystems for this purpose appear to be generally the deciduous and mixed forests and more specifically the beech and beech–silver fir stands. The opposite effect was seen in mugo pine and Scots pine forests, with warmer temperatures under the canopy compared to open-site.

EPFL2010

In alpine areas, the snow cover plays an important role as a water reservoir. Water is stored as snow over the winter and released in spring, recharging mountain aquifers through infiltration. These aquifers are essential, especially for supplying water for human activities during dry seasons. Numerous studies have shown that locally soil frost can drastically reduce the water infiltration. However, we know much less about the hydrological impact of soil frost at a larger scale, in particular with regard to groundwater recharge. This was our motivation for initiating an extensive field experiment in the southern Swiss Alps. Several methods at different spatial scales were adapted to explore (a) the local effect of a partially frozen ground on the snowmelt discharge in an alpine area, (b) the key processes influencing groundwater recharge during snowmelt periods, such as snow cover and soil frost evolution, snowmelt water runoff types, (c) the large-scale effect of soil frost on the aquifer recharge, and (d) winter situations that are critical with respect to flooding. In order to take into account spatial, altitudinal and climatic differences, the field study was run for two winter seasons at Gd St Bernard (2500 m), a site with very high winter precipitation and strong winds, and at Hannigalp above Grächen (2100 m), a ski resort with a rather dry winter climate. The different components of the soil water balance (lateral runoff, deep percolation, liquid soil water content) were measured on delimited plots of 5 m2. Additionally, a dye tracer experiment visualized the snowmelt infiltration patterns into the frozen, respectively non-frozen ground. At Gd St Bernard, investigations of the liquid water content and the soil temperature were additionally conducted at two secondary sites, differing in their orientation, so as to gain a better insight of the spatial soil frost expansion. Finally, an analysis of the water-table variation at the village of Grächen (some 500 m below Hannigalp) during the snowmelt was carried out for a 10-year time period, including our experimental seasons. We complemented our field investigations by using a numerical soil-snow-atmosphere transfer model that simulates the seasonal development of the soil frost and the snow cover, as well as lateral and vertical water flow in the top soil. This model was used as an upper boundary condition to a 2-D groundwater model, to calculate the outlet flow at the base of a simplified alpine aquifer. The two winters investigated had contrasting meteorological conditions, which resulted in intriguing differences and similarities with respect to the soil physical conditions: the first one having a thick snowpack and hardly any soil frost, and the second one with hardly any snow until January and a deep and persistent soil frost. In spite of a very thick snowpack, the water balance measurements from winter 2000/2001 showed for both sites zero to low surface and subsurface flow due to the fact that soil frost was local and the soil permeability high. During the next winter, approximately 25% of the total meltwater run off laterally. The soil infiltration capacity was mainly reduced by the presence of a basal ice sheet, caused by the freezing of meltwater after a mid-winter snowmelt event. The field data were used to calibrate and validate a physically-based one-dimensional model. To allow an accurate parameter setting for the water repellent soil of Hannigalp, laboratory infiltration experiments on soil columns were additionally carried out. Using the resultant information, the model predicted correctly most measured soil parameters, in particular good matching was observed between measured and simulated snowmelt discharge. At Gd St Bernard, the simulated results were less satisfactory, especially during the first winter, when large discrepancies were noted between measured and simulated lateral runoff. Apart from the shortage in the soil parameter characterization, the deviation was a result of the simplified description of the experimental field. The model was, for example, not able to simulate surface runoff generated by a steep slope under unfrozen conditions, as the soil surface is considered by the model to be flat. Nevertheless, results were accurate enough to reproduce the occurrences of snowmelt events and the accumulated values of snow-melt discharge pathways under frozen conditions. Long-term weather data were used to simulate the soil frost depth at both sites. The simulation results showed that the probability of the occurrence of frozen soils was lowest on slopes with south or north exposure. On southerly exposed plots, the heat stored in the soil during the summer inhibited the development of deep and persistent soil frost, while most pore ice thawed due to underneath heating. On north plots, the building of soil frost was rare, as early snowfall insulated the ground from the atmosphere. However, during snow-poor winters, the frost penetrated deep into the ground, and the low underneath heat flux at that location hardly affected the frost depth until snowmelt. The snow depth and average soil temperature were hence the two components affecting the frost depth extent. The altitude soil frost variation was related to the spatial extent of these two components. The higher the altitude, the higher the precipitation and the lower the mean air/surface temperature. Simulating the whole Grächen recharge area, seasonal soil frost was rare between 1800 m and 2000 m, as the snowpack was thick enough to insulate the ground, and the soil was warm enough to inhibit deep soil frost. In lower areas, the shallow snowpack enabled the soil to freeze during most winters, whereas at higher areas, deep and persistent soil frost was simulated due to the low underneath heating. A 10-year water-table depth record was used to examine possible large-scale effects of seasonal soil frost. We noted that the water-table rise at snowmelt was lowest at the end of winters with extensive soil frost. However, such winters were characterized by low precipitation, and reduced snow cover. In contrast, winters with little soil frost were mostly snow rich. Consequently, only a reduced number of winters were directly comparable. Considering these winters, the reduction in the water-table rise at snowmelt due to seasonal soil frost varied only between 10 and 30%, as, during snowmelt, most meltwater was able to re-infiltrate into the very permeable ground in lower unfrozen areas. We may assume that a soil with a smaller infiltration capacity can increase the influence of the soil frost on the aquifer recharge. Finally, we investigated the effect of a changing climate on the hydraulic and thermic regimes at different altitudes in the area of Grächen. We assume an increase in the air temperature of 2°C generates deeper soil frost on lower areas, as the resultant smaller snow cover does not insulate the soil from the atmosphere any more. However, it does reduce the soil frost on higher, snow rich areas, due to the warmer air temperature. As a whole, minor changes were simulated on the mean groundwater recharge, as more/less meltwater was able to infiltrate in higher/lower areas. By increasing additionally the precipitation by 15%, the soil frost diminished slightly over the whole catchment. By combining both climate change scenarios, we may expect an increase in extreme events, as, on the one hand, the rainfall intensity increases, and, on the other hand, rain on snow events over frozen soils occurs more often in lower areas. In practice, this work shows the importance of better investigating the hydrothermal behaviour of alpine regions. Such a knowledge is necessary, as more and more efforts are put into managing efficiently, durably and globally the available water resources. This work stresses also the necessity to consider seasonally soil frost in alpine risk management. As an example, flooding is mostly a consequence of strong rain precipitation at high altitudes combined with heavy snowmelt. Obviously, the risk of extreme runoff events increases during frozen winters, when the soil infiltration capacity is further reduced by the soil ice. Also, it has been shown that unstable slopes are mostly related to specific hydrogeological situations, like strong precipitation, which induces a sharp increase in the underneath water circulation. The melt water in spring is hence a potential activating factor, and a frozen soil may reduce the risk of sliding, as less water infiltrates into the ground.

EPFL2003

Statistical Analysis of Mountain Permafrost Temperatures

Evelyn Zenklusen Mutter

EPFL2012

EPFL2003

EPFL2010