Concept

Hindsight bias

Related publications (32)

Timing and spatial selection bias in rapid extreme event attribution

Anthony Christopher Davison, Ophélia Mireille Anna Miralles

Selection bias may arise when data have been chosen in a way that subsequent analysis does not account for. Such bias can arise in climate event attribution studies that are performed rapidly after a devastating "trigger event'', whose occurrence correspon ...

ELSEVIER2023

Perturbation theory models for LSST-era galaxy clustering: Tests with subpercent mock catalog measurements in Fourier and configuration space

Jonathan Andrew Blazek

We analyze the clustering of galaxies using the z = 1.006 snapshot of the CosmoDC2 simulation, a high-fidelity synthetic galaxy catalog designed to validate analysis methods for the Vera C. Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST). We prese ...

AMER PHYSICAL SOC2022

Global Free-Energy Landscapes as a Smoothly Joined Collection of Local Maps

Michele Ceriotti, Gareth Aneurin Tribello, Federico Giberti

Enhanced sampling techniques have become an essential tool in computational chemistry and physics, where they are applied to sample activated processes that occur on a time scale that is inaccessible to conventional simulations. Despite their popularity, i ...

AMER CHEMICAL SOC2021

The bias of dark matter tracers: assessing the accuracy of mapping techniques

Cheng Zhao

We present a comparison between approximated methods for the construction of mock catalogues based on the halo-bias mapping technique. To this end, we use as reference a high-resolution N-body simulation of 38403 dark matter particles on a 400 h(-1) Mpc cu ...

OXFORD UNIV PRESS2020

The perceptual relevance of balance, evenness, and entropy in musical rhythms

Steffen Alexander Herff

There is an uncountable number of different ways of characterizing almost any given real-world stimulus. This necessitates finding stimulus features that are perceptually relevant - that is, they have distinct and independent effects on the perception and ...

ELSEVIER2020

Human biases in body measurement estimation

Robert West, Venkata Rama Kiran Garimella

Body measurements, including weight and height, are key indicators of health. Being able to visually assess body measurements reliably is a step towards increased awareness of overweight and obesity and is thus important for public health. Nevertheless it ...

SPRINGER2020

Multi-armed Bandits in Action

Farnood Salehi

Making decisions is part and parcel of being human. Among a set of actions, we want to choose the one that has the highest reward. But the uncertainty of the outcome prevents us from always making the right decision. Making decisions under uncertainty can ...

EPFL2020

Analysis of the Bias-Dependent Split Emission Zone in Phosphorescent OLEDs

Beat Ruhstaller, Markus Regnat

From s-polarized, angle-dependent measurements of the electroluminescence spectra in a three-layer phosphorescent organic light-emitting diode, we calculate the exciton distribution inside the 35 nm thick emission layer. The shape of the exciton profile ch ...

2018

Selection Bias in News Coverage: Learning it, Fighting it

Karl Aberer, Jérémie Rappaz

News entities must select and filter the coverage they broadcast through their respective channels since the set of world events is too large to be treated exhaustively. The subjective nature of this filtering induces biases due to, among other things, res ...

2018

Research online: Robust tightly coupled GNSS/INS estimation for navigation

Jan Skaloud, Omar Garcia Crespillo, Michael Meurer

We designed a tightly-coupled integration between GNSS and inertial navigation systems (INS) where we modify the update step of a classical Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) to consider different robust estimators (such as M-estimators). We consider different f ...

2017

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