Concept

Bayes' theorem

Related publications (39)

On the Fusion Strategies for Federated Decision Making

Ali H. Sayed, Emre Telatar, Mert Kayaalp, Yunus Inan

We consider the problem of information aggregation in federated decision making, where a group of agents collaborate to infer the underlying state of nature without sharing their private data with the central processor or each other. We analyze the non-Bay ...

2023

Probabilistic fatigue model for composites based on the statistical characteristics of the cycles to failure

Anastasios Vassilopoulos, Guangjian Xiang

A probabilistic model for estimating the fatigue life of composite laminates based on the mean value and standard deviation of the fatigue life is introduced here for predicting the distribution of fatigue life at any stress level for a constant stress rat ...

ELSEVIER SCI LTD2022

Efficient learning of smooth probability functions from Bernoulli tests with guarantees.

Volkan Cevher, Paul Thierry Yves Rolland, Ali Kavis

We study the fundamental problem of learning an unknown, smooth probability function via pointwise Bernoulli tests. We provide a scalable algorithm for efficiently solving this problem with rigorous guarantees. In particular, we prove the convergence rate ...

2019

F-BLEAU: Fast Black-box Leakage Estimation

Giovanni Cherubin

We consider the problem of measuring how much a system reveals about its secret inputs. We work in the black-box setting: we assume no prior knowledge of the system's internals, and we run the system for choices of secrets and measure its leakage from the ...

IEEE2019

Overlapping Multi-Bandit Best Arm Identification

Volkan Cevher, Jonathan Mark Scarlett, Ilija Bogunovic

In the multi-armed bandit literature, the multi-bandit best-arm identification problem consists of determining each best arm in a number of disjoint groups of arms, with as few total arm pulls as possible. In this paper, we introduce a variant of the multi ...

IEEE2019

A guideline for the validation of likelihood ratio methods used for forensic evidence evaluation

Rudolf Haraksim

This Guideline proposes a protocol for the validation of forensic evaluation methods at the source level, using the Likelihood Ratio framework as defined within the Bayes' inference model. In the context of the inference of identity of source, the Likeliho ...

Elsevier Ireland Ltd2017

Bayesian association scan reveals loci associated with human lifespan and linked biomarkers

Johan Auwerx, Bart Deplancke, Murielle Bochud, Hao Li, Vincenzo Sorrentino, Maria Litovchenko, Roel Paulus Josephus Bevers, Sina Rüeger, Andrea Komljenovic

The enormous variation in human lifespan is in part due to a myriad of sequence variants, only a few of which have been revealed to date. Since many life-shortening events are related to diseases, we developed a Mendelian randomization-based method combini ...

Nature Publishing Group2017

Comparative Study on Sentence Boundary Prediction for German and English Broadcast News

Philip Neil Garner, David Imseng, Yang Wang

We present a comparative study on sentence boundary prediction for German and English broadcast news that explores generalization across different languages. In the feature extraction stage, word pause duration is firstly extracted from word aligned speech ...

Idiap2017

Expectation Propagation for Rectified Linear Poisson Regression

Matthias Seeger, Young Jun Ko

The Poisson likelihood with rectified linear function as non-linearity is a physically plausible model to discribe the stochastic arrival process of photons or other particles at a detector. At low emission rates the discrete nature of this process leads t ...

2015

Dynamic Valuation of Delinquent Credit-Card Accounts

Thomas Alois Weber

This paper introduces a dynamic model of the stochastic repayment behavior exhibited by delinquent credit-card accounts. Based on this model, we construct a dynamic collectability score (DCS) which estimates the account-speciﬁc probability of collecting a ...

Management Science2015

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