Concept

Uncertainty quantification

Related publications (516)

Multi-agent reinforcement learning with graph convolutional neural networks for optimal bidding strategies of generation units in electricity markets

Finding optimal bidding strategies for generation units in electricity markets would result in higher profit. However, it is a challenging problem due to the system uncertainty which is due to the lack of knowledge of the strategies of other generation uni ...

PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD2023

Self-Correcting Quadratic Programming-Based Robot Control

Aude Billard, Farshad Khadivar, Konstantinos Chatzilygeroudis

Quadratic Programming (QP)-based controllers allow many robotic systems, such as humanoids, to successfully undertake complex motions and interactions. However, these approaches rely heavily on adequately capturing the underlying model of the environment a ...

2023

Ultrasonic sediment flux profiling with ACVP Technology: application to sediment-laden Boundary Layer flows

Giovanni De Cesare, David Hurther

Sediment transport in geophysical boundary layer flows has relevance to a broad spectrum of sciences ranging from the physical and chemical, to the biological, ecological and geological. Advances in sediment transport modelling and prediction strongly suff ...

2023

Limiting the impact of supply chain disruptions in the face of distributional uncertainty in demand

Ralf Seifert, Anna Timonina-Farkas, René Yves Glogg

Service-level requirements play a crucial role in eliminating stock-outs in a production pipeline. However, delivering a specific service level can become an unattainable goal given the various uncertainties influencing both the production pipeline and cus ...

WILEY2022

Analytical prediction of the final error due to noise in a ϕ-OTDR system

Luc Thévenaz, Malak Mohamed Hossameldeen Omar Mohamed Galal, Yuting Yang, Li Zhang, Suneetha Sebastian

An analytical expression to estimate the uncertainty on the frequency shift in ϕ-OTDR systems is established and confirmed by actual data. ...

Optica Publishing Group2022

Uncertainty-aware Flexibility Envelope Prediction in Buildings with Controller-agnostic Battery Models

Colin Neil Jones, Paul Scharnhorst, Rafael Eduardo Carrillo Rangel, Pierre-Jean Alet, Baptiste Schubnel

Buildings are a promising source of flexibility for the application of demand response. In this work, we introduce a novel battery model formulation to capture the state evolution of a single building. Being fully data-driven, the battery model identificat ...

2022

Manifold Learning-Based Polynomial Chaos Expansions For High-Dimensional Surrogate Models

In this work we introduce a manifold learning-based method for uncertainty quantification (UQ) in systems describing complex spatiotemporal processes. Our first objective is to identify the embedding of a set of high-dimensional data representing quantitie ...

2022

A Whale's Tail - Finding the Right Whale in an Uncertain World

Devis Tuia

Explainable machine learning and uncertainty quantification have emerged as promising approaches to check the suitability and understand the decision process of a data-driven model, to learn new insights from data, but also to get more information about th ...

SPRINGER INTERNATIONAL PUBLISHING AG2022

Grassmannian diffusion maps based surrogate modeling via geometric harmonics

A novel surrogate model based on the Grassmannian diffusion maps (GDMaps) and utilizing geometric harmonics (GH) is developed for predicting the response of complex physical phenomena. The method utilizes GDMaps to obtain a low-dimensional representation o ...

2022

Learning new physics from an imperfect machine

Raffaele Tito D'Agnolo, Andrea Wulzer

We show how to deal with uncertainties on the Standard Model predictions in an agnostic new physics search strategy that exploits artificial neural networks. Our approach builds directly on the specific Maximum Likelihood ratio treatment of uncertainties a ...

SPRINGER2022

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