Concept

Compartmental models in epidemiology

Related publications (63)

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Quantifying the Effects of Contact Tracing, Testing, and Containment Measures in the Presence of Infection Hotspots

William Trouleau

Multiple lines of evidence at the individual and population level strongly suggest that infection hotspots, or superspreading events, where a single individual infects many others, play a key role in the transmission dynamics of COVID-19. However, most of ...

2020

SARS-CoV2 spread is hard to control, as asymptomatic people contribute to transmission. Currently, Covid-19 mitigation imposes social distancing and isolates the diseased. This slows down virus spread, eases stress on health care systems and thereby reduce ...

2020

Following the rapid dissemination of COVID-19 cases in Switzerland, large-scale non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) were implemented by the cantons and the federal government between 28 February and 20 March 2020. Estimates of the impact of these inter ...

E M H SWISS MEDICAL PUBLISHERS LTD2020

Stochastic Optimal Control of Epidemic Processes in Networks

Utkarsh Upadhyay, William Trouleau

We approach the development of models and control strategies of susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic processes from the perspective of marked temporal point processes and stochastic optimal control of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) wit ...

2018

Interplay between cost and benefits triggers nontrivial vaccination uptake

Paolo De Los Rios, Alessio Vincenzo Cardillo

The containment of epidemic spreading is a major challenge in science. Vaccination, whenever available, is the best way to prevent the spreading, because it eventually immunizes individuals. However, vaccines are not perfect, and total immunization is not ...

2018

Resilience management during large-scale epidemic outbreaks

Emanuele Massaro

Assessing and managing the impact of large-scale epidemics considering only the individual risk and severity of the disease is exceedingly difficult and could be extremely expensive. Economic consequences, infrastructure and service disruption, as well as ...

2018

Localizing the source of an epidemic is a crucial task in many contexts, including the detection of malicious users in social networks and the identification of patient zeros of disease outbreaks. The difficulty of this task lies in the strict limitation ...

EPFL2018

Risk Perception and Epidemics in Complex Computer Networks

Emanuele Massaro

We present a self-organised method for quickly obtaining the epidemic threshold of infective processes on networks. Starting from simple percolation models, we introduce the possibility that the effective infection probability is affected by the perception ...

IEEE2018

Intra- and extra-axonal axial diffusivities in the white matter: Which one is faster?

Ileana Ozana Jelescu, Nicolas Kunz

A two-compartment model of diffusion in white matter, which accounts for intra- and extra-axonal spaces, is associated with two plausible mathematical scenarios: either the intra-axonal axial diffusivity Da,‖ is higher than the extra-axonal De,‖ (Branch 1) ...

2018

Integrated field, laboratory, and theoretical study of PKD spread in a Swiss prealpine river

Andrea Rinaldo, Enrico Bertuzzo, Lorenzo Mari, Luca Carraro, Marino Gatto

Proliferative kidney disease (PKD) is a major threat to wild and farmed salmonid populations because of its lethal effect at high water temperatures. Its causative agent, the myxozoan Tetracapsuloides bryosalmonae, has a complex lifecycle exploiting freshw ...

National Academy of Sciences2017