Forecasting Methods: Expert Approaches and Professional Predictions

This lecture covers various forecasting methods, including using conventions, imitating others, and drawing inspiration from the past. It also delves into professional predictions for the Swiss economy, such as real GDP, private consumption, public investment, and more. The lecture explores the use of forecasts from different sources like SECO, KOF, and CS, and discusses the quality of anticipations by professionals in real estate and economic sectors.