Capital structure, credit risk, and macroeconomic conditions
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Capital ages and must eventually be replaced. We propose a theory of financing in which firms borrow to finance investment and deleverage as capital ages to have enough financial slack to finance replacement investments. To achieve these dynamics, firms is ...
Lausanne2024
The modeling of the probability of joint default or total number of defaults among the firms is one of the crucial problems to mitigate the credit risk since the default correlations significantly affect the portfolio loss distribution and hence play a sig ...
We analyze and implement the kernel ridge regression (KR) method developed in Filipovic et al. (Stripping the discount curve-a robust machine learning approach. Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper No. 22-24. SSRN. https://ssrn.com/abstract=4058150, 2022 ...
This paper analyses the effects of quantitative easing (QE) on households' income and consumption inequality in the Euro Area. Using a SVAR with high frequency identification, I show that an identified QE shock is redistributive and expansionary. To ration ...
We propose a “debt view” to explain the dominant international role of the dollar. Within a simple capital-structure model with debt-currency choice, we show that the “dominant currency” is the one that (1) depreciates in global downturns over horizons of ...
We investigate equilibrium debt dynamics for a firm that cannot commit to a future debt policy and is subject to a fixed restructuring cost. We formally characterize equilibria when the firm is not required to repurchase outstanding debt prior to issuing a ...
This thesis examines how banks choose their optimal capital structure and cash reserves in the presence of regulatory measures. The first chapter, titled Bank Capital Structure and Tail Risk, presents a bank capital structure model in which bank assets a ...
Discount is the difference between the face value of a bond and its present value. We propose an arbitrage-free dynamic framework for discount models, which provides an alternative to the Heath-Jarrow-Morton framework for forward rates. We derive general c ...
We develop a methodology to measure the expected loss of commercial banks in a market downturn, which we call stressed expected loss (SEL). We simulate a market downturn as a negative shock on interest rate and credit market risk factors that reflect the b ...
This thesis develops three models that study the motivation of various agents to take on debt,
and the impact that excessive financial leverage can have on social welfare.
In the chapter "Short-term Bank Leverage and the Value of Liquid Reserves", the ince ...
