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Expectations-Driven Cycles in the Housing Market

Related publications (32)

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EPFL2022

Monetary Independence And Rollover Crises

Jorge Mondragon Minero

This article shows that the inability to use monetary policy for macroeconomic stabilization leaves a government more vulnerable to a rollover crisis. We study a sovereign default model with self-fulfilling rollover crises, foreign currency debt, and nomin ...
OXFORD UNIV PRESS INC2022

Essays on Mortgage Supply in a Low Rate Environment and Gender Effects of Covid-19

After the financial crisis, policy rates in the major advanced economies have moved downwards to near/below zero. Some countries have experienced an increase in house prices and an expansion of mortgages. Also, there have been considerable changes in the m ...
EPFL2021

Democratic Value and Money for Decentralized Digital Society

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Classical monetary systems regularly subject the most vulnerable majority of the world's population to debilitating financial shocks, and have manifestly allowed uncontrolled global inequality over the long term. Given these basic failures, how can we avoi ...
2020

Regional Heterogeneity and the Refinancing Channel of Monetary Policy

Andreas Fuster

We argue that the time-varying regional distribution of housing equity influences the aggregate consequences of monetary policy through its effects on mortgage refinancing. Using detailed loan-level data, we show that regional differences in housing equity ...
2019

Three Essays in Banking and Finance

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This thesis develops three models that study the motivation of various agents to take on debt, and the impact that excessive financial leverage can have on social welfare. In the chapter "Short-term Bank Leverage and the Value of Liquid Reserves", the ince ...
EPFL2019

Financial Stability and the Macroeconomy

Corinne Dubois

The financial crisis of 2007-2009 drew attention to the essential role of banks for the macroeconomy and to the importance of having a resilient financial sector. A vulnerability in the financial sector spills over to the real economy and can drive it into ...
EPFL2018

Expectations-driven cycles in the housing market

Luisa Lambertini

This paper explores the transmission of "news shocks" in a model of the housing market and shows that anticipated signals or beliefs of future macroeconomic developments can generate boom-bust cycles in the housing market and lead to business cycle fluctua ...
2017

AUSTERITY IN THE AFTERMATH OF THE GREAT RECESSION

Christian Pröbsting

We examine austerity in advanced economies since the Great Recession. Austerity shocks are reductions in government purchases that exceed reduced-form forecasts. Austerity shocks are statistically associated with lower real GDP, lower inflation and higher ...
NBER2017

Mortgage Default in an Estimated Model of the U.S. Housing Market

Luisa Lambertini, Pinar Uysal, Victoria Nuguer

This paper models the housing sector, mortgages and endogenous default in a DSGE setting with nominal and real rigidities. We use data for the period 1981-2006 to estimate our model using Bayesian techniques. We analyze how an increase in risk in the mortg ...
2017

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