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Great Balls of Fire: A probabilistic approach to quantify the hazard related to ballistics – A case study at La Fossa volcano, Vulcano Island, Italy

Related publications (54)

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GENERATING PROBABILISTIC PATH OBSERVATION FROM GPS DATA FOR ROUTE CHOICE MODELING

Michel Bierlaire, Jingmin Chen, Jeffrey Newman

Abstract: Map matching algorithms are the conventional way to generate path observations from GPS data for route choice models. The deterministic matching may introduce extra biases to parameters of route choice models if the matching is wrong. In this pap ...

2009

A quasi-dynamic capacity constrained frequency-based transit assignment model

This paper presents a first approach to dynamic frequency-based transit assignment. As such the model aims to close the gap between schedule-based and frequency-based models. Frequency-based approaches have some advantages compared to schedule-based models ...

Elsevier2008

An integrated adaptive model for overheating risk prediction

Darren Robinson, Frédéric Haldi

Based on the results from a field survey campaign, this article describes three new developments which have been integrated to provide a comprehensive basis for the evaluation of overheating risk in offices. Firstly, a set of logistic regression equations ...

2008

Fountain codes for piecewise stationary channels

Mohammad Amin Shokrollahi, Bertrand Ndzana Ndzana

In this paper, two fixed per-information symbol complexity lossless source coding algorithms are modified for estimation and incremental LT decoding over piecewise stationary memoryless channels (PSMC's) with a bounded number of abrupt changes in channel s ...

IEEE2008

Simple learning rules to cope with changing environments

Roderich Gross

We consider an agent that must choose repeatedly among several actions. Each action has a certain probability of giving the agent an energy reward, and costs may be associated with switching between actions. The agent does not know which action has the hig ...

2008

Reliability of computational science

Fabio Nobile

Today's computers allow us to simulate large, complex physical problems. Many times the mathematical models describing such problems are based on a relatively small amount of available information such as experimental measurements. The question arises whet ...

Wiley-Blackwell2007

A tutorial on (Bayesian) probability

Claudio Mattiussi

The aim of this tutorial is to show that, when properly formulated, probability theory is simply the science of plausible reasoning, which permits us to represent exactly and to update our state of information about the world. This is nothing new, since in ...

2005

Correlation between modulation and structural disorder in the 4,4 '-diethoxyazoxybenzene

Gervais Chapuis, Philip Pattison

The structural refinement of the modulated phase of 4,4'-Diethoxyazoxybenzene (DXB) indicates a correlation between the shifts on the DXB molecule (modulation) and the probability to find the azoxy (N --> O) group in different configurations (disorder). Th ...

2004

Gracefully Degrading Fair Exchange with Security Modules

Rachid Guerraoui, Gildas Avoine

The fair exchange problem is key to trading electronic items in systems of mutually untrusted parties. In modern variants of such systems, each party is equipped with a tamper proof security module. The security modules trust each other but can only commun ...

2004

Reliability and latency in binary communication

Emre Telatar, Aslan Tchamkerten

The transmission of one of two messages over a binary symmetric channels with perfect and instantaneous feedback is considered. We study the situation where transmitter and receiver want to communicated reliably and quickly. We propose a simple decoding ru ...

2003