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Functional Peaks-Over-Threshold Analysis for Complex Extreme Events

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Recent Progress in Polymorphism-Based Population Genetic Inference

Jeffrey David Jensen

The recent availability of whole-genome sequencing data affords tremendous power for statistical inference. With this, there has been great interest in the development of polymorphism-based approaches for the estimation of population genetic parameters. Th ...

Oxford University Press2012

Statistical Modeling of Spatial Extremes

Anthony Christopher Davison, Simone Padoan

The areal modeling of the extremes of a natural process such as rainfall or temperature is important in environmental statistics; for example, understanding extreme areal rainfall is crucial in flood protection. This article reviews recent progress in the ...

Institute of Mathematical Statistics2012

Extreme rainfall in West Africa: A regional modeling

Juliette Ferial Blanchet, Adnan Ali

In a world of increasing exposure of populations to natural hazards, the mapping of extreme rainfall remains a key subject of study. Such maps are required for both flood risk management and civil engineering structure design, the challenge being to take i ...

Amer Geophysical Union2012

Investigation of the Blackouts Complexity Regarding Spinning Reserve and Frequency Control in Interconnected Power Systems

Mario Paolone, Mokhtar Bozorg, Omid Alizadeh Mousavi

The dynamics of power system blackouts and the associated Self-Organized Criticality (SOC) behavior is a subject that receives continuous attention in view of its inherent complexity and relevant consequences. Within this context, the paper focuses on the ...

IEEE Power Engineering Society2012

Stratégies de compromis pour l'estimation des paramètres de régression et pour la classification floue

Nicolas Fournier

Model specification is an integral part of any statistical inference problem. Several model selection techniques have been developed in order to determine which model is the best one among a list of possible candidates. Another way to deal with this questi ...

EPFL2011

Overcoming the limitations of traditional model-updating approaches

Ian Smith, James-Alexandre Goulet

Model updating is useful for improving structural performance assessments. This paper examines an important assumption of traditional model-updating approaches. This assumption requires the error independence between points where predictions and measuremen ...

ASCE2011

Extreme events in total ozone over Arosa---Part 1: Application of extreme value theory

Anthony Christopher Davison

In this study ideas from extreme value theory are for the first time applied in the field of stratospheric ozone research, because statistical analysis showed that previously used concepts assuming a Gaussian distribution (e.g. fixed deviations from mean v ...

Copernicus Publications2010

Geostatistics of Extremes

Mehdi Gholam

Extreme climate events have been investigated by many researchers in recent decades, and statisticians too have developed statistical tools capable of dealing with them. Although extreme value theory has been extensively developed and used in modelling eve ...

EPFL2010

Fragility Assessment of Reduced Beam Section Moment Connections

Dimitrios Lignos

This paper presents fragility functions to estimate the probability of reaching or exceeding different damage states in reduced beam section (RBS) beam-to-column moment connections of steel moment resisting frames. The fragility functions are developed usi ...

American Society of Civil Engineers2010

Statistical analysis of clusters of extreme events

Mária Süveges

The thesis is a contribution to extreme-value statistics, more precisely to the estimation of clustering characteristics of extreme values. One summary measure of the tendency to form groups is the inverse average cluster size. In extreme-value context, th ...

EPFL2009