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Modeling and Optimization of Terminal Airspace and Aircraft Arrival Subject To Weather Uncertainties

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Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020-2021

Joseph Chadi Benoit Lemaitre, Pan Xu, Weitong Zhang, Wei Cao, Myungjin Kim, Shan Yu, Xinyi Li, Lei Gao

During the COVID-19 pandemic, forecasting COVID-19 trends to support planning and response was a priority for scientists and decision makers alike. In the United States, COVID-19 forecasting was coordinated by a large group of universities, companies, and ...

Public Library Science2024

Improved extended-range prediction of persistent stratospheric perturbations using machine learning

On average every 2 years, the stratospheric polar vortex exhibits extreme perturbations known as sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs). The impact of these events is not limited to the stratosphere: but they can also influence the weather at the surface of ...

Gottingen2023

Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations

Ekaterina Krymova, Nicola Parolini, Andrea Kraus, David Kraus, Daniel Lopez, Markus Scholz, Tao Sun

Background:Short-term forecasts of infectious disease burden can contribute to situational awareness and aid capacity planning. Based on best practice in other fields and recent insights in infectious disease epidemiology, one can maximise the predictive p ...

eLIFE SCIENCES PUBL LTD2023

Assessing the simulation of snowfall at Dumont d'Urville, Antarctica, during the YOPP-SH special observing campaign

Alexis Berne, Etienne Gabriel Henri Vignon

The performance of a set of atmospheric models and meteorological reanalyses in the representation of precipitation days in Antarctica is assessed using ground-based observations such as a precipitation gauge and a Micro Rain Radar during the Year Of Polar ...

WILEY2023

Convective weather and its inherent uncertainty constitute one of the major challenges in the air traffic management (ATM) system, entailing both safety hazards and economic losses. In the present work, we propose a stochastic algorithm for trajectory plan ...

2021

Informed scenario-based RRT∗ for aircraft trajectory planning under ensemble forecasting of thunderstorms

Maryam Kamgarpour, Eduardo Andres Enderiz

Thunderstorms represent a major hazard for flights, as they compromise the safety of both the airframe and the passengers. To address trajectory planning under thunderstorms, three variants of the scenario-based rapidly exploring random trees (SB-RRTs) are ...

2021

Determining the height of the planetary boundary layer (PBL) is of crucial importance as it is a key parameter in air-quality modelling and weather forecasting. Continuous remote sensing measurements allow to estimate this parameter based on temperature, h ...

2021

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Designing structures from reused elements is becoming an increasingly important design task for structural engineers as it has potential to significantly reduce adverse environmental impacts of building structures. To allow for a broad application of this ...

2021

Medium-range numerical weather prediction (NWP) is crucial to human activities. Reliable weather forecasts allow better resource management and are essential for disaster preparation. Modern NWP models provide accurate medium-range forecasts, but they requ ...

2020

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Generative adversarial networks (GANs) have been recently adopted for super-resolution, an application closely related to what is referred to as "downscaling'' in the atmospheric sciences: improving the spatial resolution of low-resolution images. The abil ...

2020