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Generalized Bradley-Terry Models for Score Estimation from Paired Comparisons

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Regularization for distributionally robust state estimation and prediction

Giancarlo Ferrari Trecate, Florian Dörfler, Jean-Sébastien Hubert Brouillon

The increasing availability of sensing techniques provides a great opportunity for engineers to design state estimation methods, which are optimal for the system under observation and the observed noise patterns. However, these patterns often do not fulfil ...

2023

Regularization for distributionally robust state estimation and prediction

Jean-Sébastien Hubert Brouillon

Simulation script for the paper "Regularization for distributionally robust state estimation and prediction". Run tests/test_cdc.py to reproduce results. Extended versions can be found at https://github.com/DecodEPFL/. ...

EPFL Infoscience2023

We study the problem of learning unknown parameters of stochastic dynamical models from data. Often, these models are high dimensional and contain several scales and complex structures. One is then interested in obtaining a reduced, coarse-grained descript ...

EPFL2022

Inference on the Angular Distribution of Extremes

Claudio Andri Semadeni

The spectral distribution plays a key role in the statistical modelling of multivariate extremes, as it defines the dependence structure of multivariate extreme-value distributions and characterizes the limiting distribution of the relative sizes of the co ...

EPFL2020

Double-Loop Unadjusted Langevin Algorithm

Volkan Cevher, Paul Thierry Yves Rolland, Ali Kavis, Armin Eftekhari

A well-known first-order method for sampling from log-concave probability distributions is the Unadjusted Langevin Algorithm (ULA). This work proposes a new annealing step-size schedule for ULA, which allows to prove new convergence guarantees for sampling ...

2020

Gaussian Process Regression for Maximum Entropy Distribution

Mohsen Sadr

Maximum-Entropy Distributions offer an attractive family of probability densities suitable for moment closure problems. Yet finding the Lagrange multipliers which parametrize these distributions, turns out to be a computational bottleneck for practical clo ...

2020

Estimation of separable direct and indirect effects in continuous time

Mats Julius Stensrud

Many research questions involve time-to-event outcomes that can be prevented from occurring due to competing events. In these settings, we must be careful about the causal interpretation of classical statistical estimands. In particular, estimands on the h ...

2020

2019

Validation of probabilistic classifiers

Michel Bierlaire, Timothy Michael Hillel

Non-parametric probabilistic classification models are increasingly being investigated as an alternative to Discrete Choice Models (DCMs), e.g. for predicting mode choice. There exist many strategies within the literature for model selection between DCMs, ...

2018

High-dimensional peaks-over-threshold inference

Anthony Christopher Davison, Raphaël Gérard Théodore Michel Marie de Deloÿe et Fourcade de Fondeville

Max-stable processes are increasingly widely used for modelling complex extreme events, but existing fitting methods are computationally demanding, limiting applications to a few dozen variables. r-Pareto processes are mathematically simpler and have the p ...

2018