Quantifying uncertain system outputs via the multilevel Monte Carlo method — Part I: Central moment estimation

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Multi-armed Bandits in Action

Farnood Salehi

Making decisions is part and parcel of being human. Among a set of actions, we want to choose the one that has the highest reward. But the uncertainty of the outcome prevents us from always making the right decision. Making decisions under uncertainty can ...

EPFL2020

Efficient random number generation techniques for CMOS single-photon avalanche diode array exploiting fast time tagging units

Edoardo Charbon, Samuel Burri

This work presents a technique to produce random bits by exploiting single-photon time of arrival. Two quantum random number generator (QRNG) devices based on the field programmable gate array (FPGA) technology are presented: Randy, which uses one discrete ...

AMER PHYSICAL SOC2020

Scalable Stochastic Optimization: Scenario Reduction with Guarantees

Kilian Schindler

Stochastic optimization is a popular modeling paradigm for decision-making under uncertainty and has a wide spectrum of applications in management science, economics and engineering. However, the stochastic optimization models one faces in practice are int ...

EPFL2020

The static and dynamic structural heterogeneities of B-DNA: extending Calladine-Dickerson rules

John Maddocks, Daiva Petkeviciute, Alessandro Samuele Patelli, Marco Pasi

We present a multi-laboratory effort to describe the structural and dynamical properties of duplex B-DNA under physiological conditions. By processing a large amount of atomistic molecular dynamics simulations, we determine the sequence-dependent structura ...

Oxford University Press (OUP)2019

Quantifying uncertainties in contact mechanics of rough surfaces using the multilevel Monte Carlo method

Fabio Nobile, Sebastian Krumscheid, Valentine Ginette Madeleine Rey

We quantify the effect of uncertainties on quantities of interest related to contact mechanics of rough surfaces. Specifically, we consider the problem of frictionless non adhesive normal contact between two semi infinite linear elastic solids subject to u ...

2019

Robust Adaptive Decision Making: Bayesian Optimization and Beyond

Ilija Bogunovic

The central task in many interactive machine learning systems can be formalized as the sequential optimization of a black-box function. Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful model-based framework for \emph{adaptive} experimentation, where the primary go ...

EPFL2019

Central limit theorems for multilevel Monte Carlo methods

Sebastian Krumscheid, Hakon Andreas Hoel

In this work, we show that uniform integrability is not a necessary condition for central limit theorems (CLT) to hold for normalized multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) estimators and we provide near optimal weaker conditions under which the CLT is achieved. In ...

2019

Continuation Multilevel Monte Carlo Evolutionary Algorithm for Robust Aerodynamic Shape Design

Fabio Nobile, Pénélope Leyland, Michele Pisaroni

The majority of problems in aircraft production and operation require decisions made in the presence of uncertainty. For this reason, aerodynamic designs obtained with traditional deterministic optimization techniques seeking only optimality in a specific ...

2019

Meandering particle bunches and a link between averages of time series of particle counts and higher-order moments

Ambrogio Fasoli, Ivo Furno, Paolo Ricci, Marcelo Baquero Ruiz, Fabian Manke

Time-averaged spatially resolved measurements are used in many fields of physics to determine spatial distributions of a physical quantity. Although one could think that time averaging suppresses all information on time variation, there are some situations ...

2018

Sensitivity To Perceived Mutual Understanding In Human-Robot Collaborations

Pierre Dillenbourg, Alexis David Jacq, Ana Paiva

In order to collaborate with humans, robots are often provided with a Theory of Mind (ToM) architecture. Such architectures can be evaluated by humans perception of the robot's adaptations. However, humans sensitivities to these adaptations are not the one ...

ASSOC COMPUTING MACHINERY2018

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Efficient random number generation techniques for CMOS single-photon avalanche diode array exploiting fast time tagging units

Edoardo Charbon, Samuel Burri

AMER PHYSICAL SOC2020