Générateur de nombres aléatoires matériel

En informatique, un générateur de nombres aléatoires matériel (aussi appelé générateur de nombres aléatoires physique ; en anglais, hardware random number generator ou true random number generator) est un appareil qui génère des nombres aléatoires à partir d'un phénomène physique, plutôt qu'au moyen d'un programme informatique. De tels appareils sont souvent basés sur des phénomènes microscopiques qui génèrent de faibles signaux de bruit statistiquement aléatoires, tels que le bruit thermique ou l'effet photoélectrique. Ils impliquent souvent un miroir semi-réfléchissant ou d'autres phénomènes quantiques. Ces processus stochastiques sont, en théorie, totalement imprévisibles. Un générateur de nombres aléatoires matériel consiste typiquement en

un transducteur pour convertir un certain aspect du phénomène physique en un signal électrique ;
un amplificateur pour augmenter l'amplitude des fluctuations aléatoires à un niveau mesurable ;
et un convertisseur analogique numérique pour

Frequency synchronization in a random oscillator network

Martin Hasler

In this paper we study the transition from incoherence to coherence in large network of arbitrary coupled, heterogeneous, continuous-time dynamical systems (phase oscillators). We analytically study a generalized Kuramoto model by the instrumentality of order parameter of the systems. We evaluate critical coupling constant and explore sufficient and necessary conditions for synchronization.

2009

Dynamical Localization Simulated on Actual Quantum Hardware

Su Yeon Chang

Quantum computers are invaluable tools to explore the properties of complex quantum systems. We show that dynamical localization of the quantum sawtooth map, a highly sensitive quantum coherent phenomenon, can be simulated on actual, small-scale quantum processors. Our results demonstrate that quantum computing of dynamical localization may become a convenient tool for evaluating advances in quantum hardware performances.

MDPI2021

Statistical Inference for Partially Observed Stochastic Epidemics

Andrea Kraus

This work is concerned with the estimation of the spreading potential of the disease in the initial stages of an epidemic. A speedy and accurate estimation is important for determining whether or not interventions are necessary to prevent a major outbreak. At the same time, the information available in the early stages is scarce and data collection imperfect. We consider an epidemic in a large susceptible population, and address the estimation based on temporally aggregated counts of new cases that are subject to unknown random under-reporting. We allow for an influence of the detection process on the evolution of the epidemic. While the proportion of infectious individuals in the population is small, the role of chance in the spread of the disease may be substantial. Therefore, stochastic epidemic models are applied. As these are difficult to analyse, the time evolution of the number of infectious individuals is approximated by branching processes. We study the estimation in a partially observed Galton–Watson process and in a partially observed linear birth and death process; and in each case focus on the parameter characterising the growth of the process. We aim at estimators that perform well in the asymptotic sense where a single trajectory is observed over a long period of time, and study the asymptotics conditionally on the eventual explosion of the process. The partially observed Galton–Watson process has been recently proposed in the literature as a model for the initial stages of an epidemic. Its probabilistic structure has been explored and estimation has been partially addressed, in that consistent estimators have been constructed. However, the estimation-related uncertainty has not been evaluated. We address this issue here by constructing estimators that are motivated from the asymptotic dependence structure of the process. We show that they are consistent and asymptotically normal, consistently estimate their asymptotic variances, and construct asymptotic confidence intervals. In addition, we evaluate their finite-sample performance in a simulation study and their practical performance on real data. The observation mechanism in the partially observed Galton–Watson process is inherently discrete. To allow for continuous-time dynamics, we incorporate partial observation in the linear birth and death process. In particular, we propose a model where the birth process is completely unobserved, while a random proportion of the death process is observed at discrete time points. We study the estimation in this model. Motivated by its counting process structure, we arrive at consistent and asymptotically normal estimators, consistently estimate their asymptotic variances, and construct asymptotic confidence intervals. We also evaluate the finite-sample and practical performance of the estimators in a simulation study and on real data.

EPFL2013

Statistical Inference for Partially Observed Stochastic Epidemics

Andrea Kraus

EPFL2013