Prévision de la demande

Science formelle
Statistique
Analyse des données
Régression (statistiques)

Publications associées (21)

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National and subnational short-term forecasting of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during early 2021

Ekaterina Krymova, Markus Scholz

Background During the COVID-19 pandemic there has been a strong interest in forecasts of the short-term development of epidemiological indicators to inform decision makers. In this study we evaluate probabilistic real-time predictions of confirmed cases an ...

Springernature2022

Numerical Weather Prediction and Artificial Neural Network Coupling for Wind Energy Forecast

Fernando Porté Agel, Jiannong Fang, Lorenzo Donadio

In the past two decades, wind energy has been under fast development worldwide. The dramatic increase of wind power penetration in electricity production has posed a big challenge to grid integration due to the high uncertainty of wind power. Accurate real ...

2021

Characterizing the Reserve Provision Capability Area of Active Distribution Networks: A Linear Robust Optimization Method

Fabrizio Sossan, Mokhtar Bozorg, Sidi-Rachid Cherkaoui, Mohsen Kalantar Neyestanaki

Distributed energy resources (DERs) installed in active distribution networks (ADNs) can be exploited to provide both active and reactive power reserves to the upper-layer grid (i.e., sub-transmission and transmission systems) at their connection point. Th ...

2021

Waste collection inventory routing with non-stationary stochastic demands

Michel Bierlaire, Sacha Varone, Mohammad Yousef Maknoon, Iliya Dimitrov Markov

We solve a rich routing problem inspired from practice, in which a heterogeneous fixed fleet is used for collecting recyclable waste from large containers over a finite planning horizon. Each container is equipped with a sensor that communicates its level ...

PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD2020

REMA topography and AntarcticaLC2000 for WRF

Michael Lehning, Franziska Gerber

Reference Elevation Model of Antarctica (REMA) topography and AntarcticaLC2000 landuse dataare now available as static data input for the Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF). Topographyand landuse are made available at a spatial resolution of 1 km ...

2020

Gravity Wave Excitation during the Coastal Transition of an Extreme Katabatic Flow in Antarctica

Alexis Berne, Etienne Gabriel Henri Vignon

The offshore extent of Antarctic katabatic winds exerts a strong control on the production of sea ice and the formation of polynyas. In this study, we make use of a combination of ground-based remotely sensed and meteorological measurements at Dumont d'Urv ...

2020

Model based forecasting for demand response strategies

Lorenzo Nespoli

The incremental deployment of decentralized renewable energy sources in the distribution grid is triggering a paradigm change for the power sector. This shift from a centralized structure with big power plants to a decentralized scenario of distributed ene ...

EPFL2019

Joint Fusion Learning of Multiple Time Series Prediction

Orçun Gümüs

Accurate traffic density estimations is essential for numerous purposes like the developing successful transit policies or to forecast future traffic conditions for navigation. Current developments in the machine learning and computer systems bring the tra ...

2019

Short-Term Forecasting of Wake-Induced Fluctuations in Offshore Wind Farms

Arslan Salim Dar

The increasing share of offshore wind energy traded at the spot market requires short term wind direction forecasts to determine wake losses and increased power fluctuations due to multiple wakes in certain wind directions. The information on potential pow ...

2019

A holistic decision making framework for a vehicle sharing system

Michel Bierlaire, Nikola Obrenovic, Selin Ataç

The vehicle sharing systems (VSSs) are becoming more and more popular due to both financial and environmental effects. On the other hand, they face many challenges, such as inventory management of the vehicles and parking spots, imbalance of the vehicles, ...

2019

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Numerical Weather Prediction and Artificial Neural Network Coupling for Wind Energy Forecast

Fernando Porté Agel, Jiannong Fang, Lorenzo Donadio

2021

Characterizing the Reserve Provision Capability Area of Active Distribution Networks: A Linear Robust Optimization Method

Fabrizio Sossan, Mokhtar Bozorg, Sidi-Rachid Cherkaoui, Mohsen Kalantar Neyestanaki

2021