Concept

Théorie de l'utilité espérée

Publications associées (153)

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Relatively robust decisions

Thomas Alois Weber

It is natural for humans to judge the outcome of a decision under uncertainty as a percentage of an ex-post optimal performance. We propose a robust decision-making framework based on a relative performance index. It is shown that if the decision maker's p ...

SPRINGER2022

A chance-constraint approach for optimizing Social Engagement-based services

Michel Bierlaire, Edoardo Fadda

Social Engagement is a novel business model transforming final users of a service from passive into active components. In this framework, people are contacted by a company and they are asked to perform tasks in exchange for a reward. This arises the compli ...

IEEE2022

Predicting the stressed expected loss of large US banks

Eric Jondeau, Amir Hossein Khalilzadeh Naghneh

We develop a methodology to measure the expected loss of commercial banks in a market downturn, which we call stressed expected loss (SEL). We simulate a market downturn as a negative shock on interest rate and credit market risk factors that reflect the b ...

ELSEVIER2022

Capturing trade-offs between daily scheduling choices

Michel Bierlaire, Timothy Michael Hillel, Janody Pougala

We propose a new modelling approach for daily activity scheduling which integrates the different daily scheduling choice dimensions (activity participation, location, schedule, duration and transportation mode) into a single optimisation problem. The funda ...

ELSEVIER SCI LTD2022

We characterize the unique equilibrium in an economy populated by strategic CARA investors who trade multiple risky assets with arbitrarily distributed payoffs. We use our explicit solution to study the joint behavior of illiquidity of option contracts. Op ...

OXFORD UNIV PRESS INC2022

No-regret learning in games with noisy feedback: Faster rates and adaptivity via learning rate separation

Volkan Cevher, Kimon Antonakopoulos, Ya-Ping Hsieh

We examine the problem of regret minimization when the learner is involved in a continuous game with other optimizing agents: in this case, if all players follow a no-regret algorithm, it is possible to achieve significantly lower regret relative to fully ...

2022

Resolving time conflicts in activity-based scheduling

Michel Bierlaire, Timothy Michael Hillel, Janody Pougala

In this paper, we present a novel activity-based scheduling model that combines a continuous optimisation framework for temporal scheduling decisions (i.e. activity timings and durations) with traditional discrete choice models for non-temporal choice dime ...

2021

Resolving time conflicts in activity-based scheduling: A case study of Lausanne

Michel Bierlaire, Timothy Michael Hillel, Janody Pougala

2021

Nonspecific Binding—Fundamental Concepts and Consequences for Biosensing Applications

Nako Nakatsuka, Stephanie Hwu

Nature achieves differentiation of specific and nonspecific binding in molecular interactions through precise control of biomolecules in space and time. Artificial systems such as biosensors that rely on distinguishing specific molecular binding events in ...

2021

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Peak/off-peak spreads on European electricity forward and spot markets are eroding due to the ongoing nuclear phaseout and the steady growth in photovoltaic capacity. The reduced profitability of peak/off- peak arbitrage forces hydropower producers to reco ...

2021