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Geostatistics of Extremes

Publications associées (34)

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Extracting maximal information from experimental data requires access to the likelihood function, which however is never directly available for complex experiments like those performed at high energy colliders. Theoretical predictions are obtained in this ...

Springer2024

This thesis presents work at the junction of statistics and climate science. We first provide methodology for use by climate scientists when performing fast event attribution using extreme value theory, and then describe two interdisciplinary projects in c ...

EPFL2023

Higher Order Asymptotics: Applications to Satellite Conjunction and Boundary Problems

Soumaya Elkantassi

Higher-order asymptotics provide accurate approximations for use in parametric statistical modelling. In this thesis, we investigate using higher-order approximations in two-specific settings, with a particular emphasis on the tangent exponential model. Th ...

EPFL2023

Inferring free-energy barriers and kinetic rates from molecular dynamics via underdamped Langevin models

Sara Bonella, Fabio Pietrucci, David Daniel Girardier

Rare events include many of the most interesting transformation processes in condensed matter, from phase transitions to biomolecular conformational changes to chemical reactions. Access to the corresponding mechanisms, free-energy landscapes and kinetic r ...

Melville2023

We discuss the use of likelihood asymptotics for inference on risk measures in univariate extreme value problems, focusing on estimation of high quantiles and similar summaries of risk for uncertainty quantification. We study whether higher-order approxima ...

INST MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS-IMS2022

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A common assumption in the social learning literature is that agents exchange information in an unselfish manner. In this work, we consider the scenario where a subset of agents aims at driving the network beliefs to the wrong hypothesis. The adversaries a ...

IEEE2021

Biological oscillators are pervasive in biology, covering all aspects of life from enzyme kinetics reactions to population dynamics. Although their behaviour has been intensively studied in the last decades, the recent advances of high-throughput experimen ...

EPFL2020

xtreme value analysis is concerned with the modelling of extreme events such as floods and heatwaves, which can have large impacts. Statistical modelling can be useful to better assess risks even if, due to scarcity of measurements, there is inherently ver ...

EPFL2019

Optimistic Distributionally Robust Optimization for Nonparametric Likelihood Approximation

Daniel Kuhn, Viet Anh Nguyen, Soroosh Shafieezadeh Abadeh, Wolfram Wiesemann

The likelihood function is a fundamental component in Bayesian statistics. However, evaluating the likelihood of an observation is computationally intractable in many applications. In this paper, we propose a non-parametric approximation of the likelihood ...

2019

Sequential model identification of reaction systems-The missing path between the incremental and simultaneous approaches

Dominique Bonvin, Julien Léo Billeter, Sriniketh Srinivasan

Modeling chemical reaction systems is an important but complex task. The identified kinetic model must be able to explain all the underlying rate processes such as chemical reactions and heat and mass transfers. Traditionally, the modeling task is carried ...

2019