Publication

Estimating uncertainty of alcohol-attributable fractions for infectious and chronic diseases

Publications associées (56)

Anthony C Davison and Igor Rodionov's contribution to the Discussion of 'Estimating means of bounded random variables by betting' by Waudby-Smith and Ramdas

Anthony Christopher Davison, Igor Rodionov

We derive confidence intervals (CIs) and confidence sequences (CSs) for the classical problem of estimating a bounded mean. Our approach generalizes and improves on the celebrated Chernoff method, yielding the best closed-form "empirical-Bernstein" CSs and ...

Oxford2024

Re-evaluating the mythical divide between traditional and novel cardiovascular risk factors in rheumatoid arthritis

Mats Julius Stensrud

Cardiovascular (CV) risk factors for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) are conventionally classified as 'traditional' and 'novel'. We argue that this classification is obsolete and potentially counterproductive. Further, we discuss problems with the common practic ...

London2024

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Buildings are a promising source of flexibility for the application of demand response. In this work, we introduce a novel battery model formulation to capture the state evolution of a single building. Being fully data-driven, the battery model identificat ...

IEEE2023

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Background Universal access to basic sanitation remains a global challenge, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Efforts are underway to improve access to sanitation in informal settlements, often through shared facilities. However, access to ...

2023

A note on universal inference

Anthony Christopher Davison, Timmy Rong Tian Tse

Universal inference enables the construction of confidence intervals and tests without regularity conditions by splitting the data into two parts and appealing to Markov's inequality. Previous investigations have shown that the cost of this generality is a ...

WILEY2022

Uncertainty-aware Flexibility Envelope Prediction in Buildings with Controller-agnostic Battery Models

Colin Neil Jones, Paul Scharnhorst, Rafael Eduardo Carrillo Rangel, Pierre-Jean Alet, Baptiste Schubnel

2022

Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) remain the only widely available tool for controlling the ongoing SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. We estimated weekly values of the effective basic reproductive number (R-eff) using a mechanistic metapopulation model and associ ...

NATURE RESEARCH2021

The effects of solar ultraviolet (UV) radiation on life on Earth differ greatly. While overexposure to UV rays is harmful, small amounts of exposure are necessary for the synthesis of Vitamin D and good health. To optimize individual exposure to solar UV, ...

2021

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Monocular and stereo vision are cost-effective solutions for 3D human localization in the context of self-driving cars or social robots. However, they are usually developed independently and have their respective strengths and limitations. We propose a nov ...

2020

MonoLoco: Monocular 3D Pedestrian Localization and Uncertainty Estimation

Alexandre Massoud Alahi, Sven Kreiss, Lorenzo Bertoni

We tackle the fundamentally ill-posed problem of 3D human localization from monocular RGB images. Driven by the limitation of neural networks outputting point estimates, we address the ambiguity in the task by predicting confidence intervals through a loss ...

2019

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