Concept

Economic forecasting

Related publications (86)

Implementation and Performance Analysis of the Lightning Potential Index as a Forecasting Tool

Severe weather events are responsible for hundreds of fatalities and millions of euros of damage every year in the Mediterranean basin. Lightning activity is a characteristic phenomenon of severe weather and often accompanies torrential rainfall, which und ...

Ieee2016

StreamFlow 1.0: an extension to the spatially distributed snow model Alpine3D for hydrological modelling and deterministic stream temperature prediction

Michael Lehning, Wolf Hendrik Huwald, Francesco Comola, Mathias Thierry Pierre Bavay, Tristan Jonas Brauchli, Aurélien Gallice

Climate change is expected to strongly impact the hydrological and thermal regimes of Alpine rivers within the coming decades. In this context, the development of hydrological models accounting for the specific dynamics of Alpine catchments appears as one ...

Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh2016

Robust Online Time Series Prediction with Recurrent Neural Networks

Karl Aberer, Tian Guo

Time series forecasting for streaming data plays an important role in many real applications, ranging from IoT systems, cyber-networks, to industrial systems and healthcare. However the real data is often complicated with anomalies and change points, which ...

Ieee2016

A Non-Parametric Approach to Demand Forecasting in Revenue Management

Shadi Sharif Azadeh

In revenue management, the profitability of the inventory and pricing decisions rests on the accuracy of demand forecasts. However, whenever a product is no longer available, true demand may differ from registered bookings, thus inducing a negative bias in ...

2015

Cluster-based Aggregate Forecasting for Residential Electricity Demand using Smart Meter Data

Karl Aberer, Tri Kurniawan Wijaya, Matteo Vasirani, Samuel François Roger Joseph Humeau

While electricity demand forecasting literature has focused on large, industrial, and national demand, this paper focuses on short-term (1 and 24 hour ahead) electricity demand forecasting for residential customers at the individual and aggregate level. Si ...

2015

Rainfall Forecasting in Burkina Faso Using Bayesian-Wavelet Neural Networks

Jonathan Giezendanner

This work aims to forecast rain locally in Tambarga, Burkina Faso, to be able to fight against a worm inducing the disease called schistosomiasis. The chosen approach relies on a machine-leaning technique called Artificial Neural Networks, which simulates ...

2015

An ex-post evaluation of the effectiveness of the Swiss CO2 levy: Final report Module B

Philippe Thalmann, Marc Vielle

The report analyse the impact of the CO2 levy implemented since 2008. We analyze two main scenarios. First, a historical scenario that includes the CO2 levy and the exemption regimes and replicates the historical development of the Swiss economy and in par ...

2015

The activity path approach to activity pattern modeling

Michel Bierlaire, Antonin Danalet

In this presentation, we propose a model for the simultaneous choice of activity types, order, start times and durations of activity episodes in a sequence. In particular, we develop a framework for choice set generation based on path choice to deal with t ...

2015

Control of a Battery Energy Storage System Accounting for the Charge Redistribution Effect to Dispatch the Operation of a Medium Voltage Feeder

Mario Paolone, Fabrizio Sossan, Dimitri Torregrossa, Emil Namor

We describe a process to dispatch the operation of a medium voltage distribution feeder and improve its quality-of-service using a battery energy storage system (BESS). It is organized according to a day-ahead and intra-day structure to allow the integrati ...

IEEE2015

Excessive Volatility is Also a Feature of Individual Level Forecasts

Anjali Devi Vanapilli Nursimulu

The excessive volatility of prices in financial markets is one of the most pressing puzzles in social science. It has led many to question economic theory, which attributes beneficial effects to markets in the allocation of risks and the aggregation of inf ...

Routledge Journals, Taylor & Francis Ltd2014

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