Explores the significance of weather forecasting, ensemble forecasts like Hurricane Katrina, and the operational use of hydrological forecasting systems.
Covers model selection, diagnostics, and forecasting in time series analysis, emphasizing the challenges of determining the model order based on autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation functions.
Explores predictive consistency in sequential forecasting systems, emphasizing the utility of prediction over estimation and the significance of prequential approaches.
Explores demand forecasting through model initiation, including trend identification, seasonal components, and base level determination, to validate and monitor forecast errors.