The sources of sovereign risk: a calibration based on Levy stochastic processes
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We introduce a general distributional framework that results in a unifying description and characterization of a rich variety of continuous-time stochastic processes. The cornerstone of our approach is an innovation model that is driven by some generalized ...
We propose an equilibrium model for defaultable bonds that are subject to contagion risk. Contagion arises because agents with "fragile beliefs" are uncertain about the underlying economic state and its probability. Estimation on sovereign European credit ...
This paper is devoted to the characterization of an extended family of continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) processes that are solutions of stochastic differential equations driven by white Levy innovations. These are completely specified ...
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We study stationary max-stable processes {n(t): t is an element of R} admitting a representation of the form n(t) = max(i is an element of N) (U-i +Y-i(t)), where Sigma(infinity)(i=1) delta U-i is a Poisson point process on R with intensity e(-u)du, and Y1 ...
We study optimal securitization in the presence of an initial moral hazard. A financial intermediary creates and then sells to outside investors defaultable assets, whose default risk is determined by the unobservable costly effort exerted by the intermedi ...
Trade credit arises when a buyer delays payment for purchased goods or services. Its nature has predominantly been an area of inquiry for researchers from the disciplines of finance, marketing, and economics but it has received relatively little attention ...
In the framework of stochastic processes, the connection between the dynamic programming scheme given by the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation and a recently proposed control approach based on the Fokker-Planck equation is discussed. Under appropriate assum ...
This project offers a rigorous introduction to the tools needed to construct a continuous stochastic process. Among other things, we give a very detailed proof of the Kolmogorov continuity criterion. We then construct a Brownian Motion following the formal ...
We infer a term structure of interbank risk from spreads between rates on interest rate swaps indexed to the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) and overnight indexed swaps. We develop a tractable model of interbank risk to decompose the term structure i ...