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The sources of sovereign risk: a calibration based on Levy stochastic processes

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Debt enforcement, investment, and risk taking across countries

Erwan Morellec, Philip Valta

We argue that the prospect of an imperfect enforcement of debt contracts in default reduces shareholder-debtholder conflicts and induces leveraged firms to invest more and take on less risk as they approach financial distress. To test these predictions, we ...

2017

Gaussian versus Sparse Stochastic Processes

Julien René Pierre Fageot

Although our work lies in the field of random processes, this thesis was originally motivated by signal processing applications, mainly the stochastic modeling of sparse signals. We develop a mathematical study of the innovation model, under which a signal ...

EPFL2017

Generalized Pickands constants and stationary max-stable processes

Sebastian Engelke

Pickands constants play a crucial role in the asymptotic theory of Gaussian processes. They are commonly defined as the limits of a sequence of expectations involving fractional Brownian motions and, as such, their exact value is often unknown. Recently, D ...

Springer Verlag2017

Three- or Two-Stage Stochastic Market-Clearing Algorithm?

Farzaneh Abbaspourtorbati, Antonio J. Conejo

As the power industry considers moving from a deterministic paradigm to a stochastic one to clear the day-ahead market in systems with significant stochastic production, the following question arises: how should a stochastic clearing algorithm be formulate ...

Ieee-Inst Electrical Electronics Engineers Inc2017

Essays on the Market Structure and Pricing of Credit Derivatives

Jan Benjamin Junge

This thesis analyzes the interrelation between market structure and price formation in credit derivatives markets. Traditionally, credit derivatives are traded in relatively opaque over-the-counter markets in which trading is segmented and subject to many ...

EPFL2016

A Levy-derived process seen from its supremum and max-stable processes

Sebastian Engelke

We consider a process Z on the real line composed from a Levy process and its exponentially tilted version killed with arbitrary rates and give an expression for the joint law of the supremum (Z) over bar, its time T, and the process Z(T + center dot) - (Z ...

Univ Washington, Dept Mathematics2016

Functional Central Limit Theorem for the Interface of the Symmetric Multitype Contact Process

Thomas Mountford, Daniel Rodrigues Valesin

We study the interface of the symmetric multitype contact process on Z. In this process, each site of Z is either empty or occupied by an individual of one of two species. Each individual dies with rate 1 and attempts to give birth with rate 2R lambda; the ...

Impa2016

On Bounding Credit-Event Risk Premia

Pierre Collin Dufresne

Reduced-form models of default that attribute a large fraction of credit spreads to compensation for credit-event risk typically preclude the most plausible economic justification for such risk to be priced, namely, a contemporaneous drop in the market por ...

Oxford University Press2015

On Bounding Credit-Event Risk Premia

Pierre Collin Dufresne

2015

Default And Systemic Risk In Equilibrium

Martin Larsson

We develop a finite horizon continuous time market model, where risk-averse investors maximize utility from terminal wealth by dynamically investing in a risk-free money market account, a stock, and a defaultable bond, whose prices are determined via equil ...

Wiley-Blackwell2015