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Building Electricity Demand Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies

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Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020-2021

Joseph Chadi Benoit Lemaitre, Pan Xu, Weitong Zhang, Wei Cao, Myungjin Kim, Shan Yu, Xinyi Li, Lei Gao

During the COVID-19 pandemic, forecasting COVID-19 trends to support planning and response was a priority for scientists and decision makers alike. In the United States, COVID-19 forecasting was coordinated by a large group of universities, companies, and ...

Public Library Science2024

Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations

Ekaterina Krymova, Nicola Parolini, Andrea Kraus, David Kraus, Daniel Lopez, Markus Scholz, Tao Sun

Background:Short-term forecasts of infectious disease burden can contribute to situational awareness and aid capacity planning. Based on best practice in other fields and recent insights in infectious disease epidemiology, one can maximise the predictive p ...

eLIFE SCIENCES PUBL LTD2023

Optimizing Sales Forecasting, Inventory, Pricing and Sourcing Decisions

Yara Kayyali El Alem

In this thesis we address various factors that contribute both theoretically and practically to mitigating supply demand mismatches. The thesis is composed of three chapters, where each chapter is an independent scientific paper. In the first paper, we dev ...

EPFL2023

Activity-based modeling and simulation of epidemics

Michel Bierlaire, Cloe Cortes Balcells, Rico Krüger

The SARS-CoV-2 outburst in March 2020 has led to the lockdown of several countries across the world. Mobility restrictions have been constantly put into action and reversed to find the trade-off between minimizing the number of infections and death and mit ...

2021

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In the past two decades, wind energy has been under fast development worldwide. The dramatic increase of wind power penetration in electricity production has posed a big challenge to grid integration due to the high uncertainty of wind power. Accurate real ...

2021

To limit global warming, the energy transition from fossil fuels to renewables is one of the main challenges of this century. This transition will help decrease our CO2 emissions, create jobs, contribute to a broader revenues distribution, improve energy s ...

EPFL2020

The incremental deployment of decentralized renewable energy sources in the distribution grid is triggering a paradigm change for the power sector. This shift from a centralized structure with big power plants to a decentralized scenario of distributed ene ...

EPFL2019

Demand forecasting for a novel transportation mode

Denis Aloyse Joseph Steffen

The vehicle sharing systems (VSSs) are becoming more and more popular due to both economic and environmental effects. However, these systems mainly focus on two specific types of vehicles: bicycles and cars. Recently, some other types of vehicles (e.g. lig ...

2019

Information-gap decision theory (IGDT): a new promising method for management of uncertainties in hydropower projects: case study

Anton Schleiss, Felix Oberrauch

The design of hydropower is determined by estimates and long-term forecasts. These forecasts and estimates are highly uncertain and make performance evaluation and design choices challenging. Effective values deviating from the estimates can have a signifi ...

Hydropower&Dams, Aqua Media International2018

Reliable estimates of predictive uncertainty for an Alpine catchment using a non-parametric methodology

Anton Schleiss, Bettina Schaefli, José Pedro Gamito de Saldanha Calado Matos

Uncertainty affects hydrological modelling efforts from the very measurements (or forecasts) that serve as inputs to the more or less inaccurate predictions that are produced. Uncertainty is truly inescapable in hydrology and yet, due to the theoretical an ...

2017