Concept

Risk measure

Publications associées (33)

Mean-Covariance Robust Risk Measurement

Daniel Kuhn, Damir Filipovic, Viet Anh Nguyen, Soroosh Shafieezadeh Abadeh

We introduce a universal framework for mean-covariance robust risk measurement and portfolio optimization. We model uncertainty in terms of the Gelbrich distance on the mean-covariance space, along with prior structural information about the population dis ...

2021

Stochastic approximation methods for PDE constrained optimal control problems with uncertain parameters

Matthieu Claude Martin

This thesis work focuses on optimal control of partial differential equations (PDEs) with uncertain parameters, treated as a random variables. In particular, we assume that the random parameters are not observable and look for a deterministic control which ...

EPFL2019

"Dice"-sion Making under Uncertainty: When Can a Random Decision Reduce Risk?

Daniel Kuhn, Wolfram Wiesemann

Stochastic programming and distributionally robust optimization seek deterministic decisions that optimize a risk measure, possibly in view of the most adverse distribution in an ambiguity set. We investigate under which circumstances such deterministic de ...

2019

Managing Risks when Using Nanomaterials in Research

Thierry Meyer, Amela Groso, Anna Maria Novello, Elina Buitrago

As the number of engineered nanomaterials (ENM) used in research increases with an incredible speed, health and safety specialists are continuously faced with the challenge of evaluating the risks involved with these materials. Nowadays there is not enough ...

2019

Energy and Reserve Dispatch with Distributionally Robust Joint Chance Constraints

Daniel Kuhn, Viet Anh Nguyen, Christos Ordoudis

We develop a two-stage stochastic program for energy and reserve dispatch, which ensures the safe operation of a power system with a high penetration of renewables and a strong interdependence with the natural gas system. Distributionally robust joint chan ...

2018

Data-Driven Chance Constrained Programs over Wasserstein Balls

Daniel Kuhn, Zhi Chen, Wolfram Wiesemann

We provide an exact deterministic reformulation for data-driven chance constrained programs over Wasserstein balls. For individual chance constraints as well as joint chance constraints with right-hand side uncertainty, our reformulation amounts to a mixed ...

2018

Multilevel Monte Carlo Approximation of Functions

Fabio Nobile, Sebastian Krumscheid

Many applications across sciences and technologies require a careful quantification of nondeterministic effects to a system output, for example, when evaluating the system’s reliability or when gearing it towards more robust operation conditions. At the he ...

2018

Model Uncertainty And Scenario Aggregation

Damir Filipovic, Mathieu Jacques David Cambou

This paper provides a coherent method for scenario aggregation addressing model uncertainty. It is based on divergence minimization from a reference probability measure subject to scenario constraints. An example from regulatory practice motivates the defi ...

Wiley-Blackwell2017

Robust Portfolio Optimization

Zheng Wei Yap

Since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, the financial market has become more unpredictable than ever before, and it seems set to remain so in the forseeable future. This means an investor faces unprecedented risks, hence the increasing need for robust port ...

EPFL2017

Multi Level Monte Carlo Methods for Uncertainty Quantification and Robust Design Optimization in Aerodynamics

Michele Pisaroni

The vast majority of problems that arise in aircraft production and operation require decisions to be made in the presence of uncertainty. An effective and accurate quantification and control of the level of uncertainty introduced in the design phase and d ...

EPFL2017

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