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Recently, evidence has emerged that humans approach learning using Bayesian updating rather than (model-free) reinforcement algorithms in a six-arm restless bandit problem. Here, we investigate what this implies for human appreciation of uncertainty. In ou ...
Milestones in sparse signal reconstruction and compressive sensing can be understood in a probabilistic Bayesian context, fusing underdetermined measurements with knowledge about low level signal properties in the posterior distribution, which is maximized ...
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers2010
We present an operational framework for the calibration of demand models for dynamic traffic simulations, where calibration refers to the estimation of a structurally predefined model's parameters from real data. Our focus is on disaggregate simulators tha ...
This paper consists in a new step toward the integration of the effects of inclement weather into traffic management strategies. It is well recognized that adverse weather conditions are a critical factor impacting traffic operations and safety. In a previ ...
Model updating is useful for improving structural performance assessments. This paper examines an important assumption of traditional model-updating approaches. This assumption requires the error independence between points where predictions and measuremen ...
We state the problem of inverse reinforcement learning in terms of preference elicitation, resulting in a principled (Bayesian) statistical formulation. This generalises previous work on Bayesian inverse reinforcement learning and allows us to obtain a pos ...
We present an operational framework for the calibration of demand models for dynamic traffic simulations. Our focus is on disaggregate simulators that represent every traveler individually. We calibrate, at a likewise individual level, arbitrary choice dim ...
We calculate learning rates when agents are informed through public and private observation of other agents' actions. We characterize the evolution of the distribution of posterior beliefs. If the private learning channel is present, convergence of the dis ...
A wide range of problems such as signal reconstruction, denoising, source separation, feature selection, and graphical model search are addressed today by posterior maximization for linear models with sparsity-favouring prior distributions. The Bayesian po ...
We consider a confidence parametrization of binary information sources in terms of appropriate likelihood ratios. This parametrization is used for Bayesian belief updates and for the equivalent comparison of binary experiments. In contrast to the standard ...