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Filtering returns for unspecified biases in priors when testing asset pricing theory

Publications associées (41)

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Demand-based Asset Pricing: Theory, Estimation and Applications

Philippe van der Beck

This thesis investigates the relationship between investors' demand shocks and asset pricesthrough the use of data on portfolio holdings. In three chapters, I study the theory, estimation,and application of demand-based asset pricing models, which incorpor ...

EPFL2023

Mortgage-backed securities

Andreas Fuster

This paper reviews the mortgage-backed securities (MBS) market, with a particular emphasis on agency residential MBS in the United States. We discuss the institutional environment, security design, MBS risks and asset pricing, and the economic effects of m ...

Edward Elgar2023

Asset Pricing and Monetary Policy

Nicolas Gauderon

Classical theory asserts that the formation of prices is the result of aggregated decisions ofeconomics agent such as households or corporation. However central banks are very importantagents that have often been neglected in asset pricing models. Central ...

EPFL2022

Principal Portfolios

Semyon Malamud

We propose a new asset pricing framework in which all securities' signals predict each individual return. While the literature focuses on securities' own-signal predictability, assuming equal strength across securities, our framework includes cross-predict ...

WILEY2022

A machine learning approach to portfolio pricing and risk management for high-dimensional problems

Damir Filipovic

We present a general framework for portfolio risk management in discrete time, based on a replicating martingale. This martingale is learned from a finite sample in a supervised setting. Our method learns the features necessary for an effective low-dimensi ...

WILEY2022

Essays in Monetary Policy and Asset Pricing

Benoit Vincent Sylvain Cornet

This thesis uses machine learning techniques and text data to investigate the relationships that arise between the Fed and financial markets, and their consequences for asset prices.The first chapter, entitled Market Expectations and the Impact of Unconven ...

EPFL2022

Global Free-Energy Landscapes as a Smoothly Joined Collection of Local Maps

Michele Ceriotti, Gareth Aneurin Tribello, Federico Giberti

Enhanced sampling techniques have become an essential tool in computational chemistry and physics, where they are applied to sample activated processes that occur on a time scale that is inaccessible to conventional simulations. Despite their popularity, i ...

AMER CHEMICAL SOC2021

COVID-19: data-driven dynamic asset allocation in times of pandemic

Anna Timonina-Farkas

The COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated the importance and value of multi-period asset allocation strategies responding to rapid changes in market behavior. In this article, we formulate and solve a multi-stage stochastic optimization problem, choosing the ...

AMER INST MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES-AIMS2021

Practical issues with modeling extreme Brazilian rainfall

Anthony Christopher Davison, Isolde Santos Previdelli, Paulo Vitor Da Costa Pereira

Accurately quantifying extreme rainfall is important for the design of hydraulic structures, for flood mapping and zoning and for disaster management. In order to produce maps of estimates of 25-year rainfall return levels in Brazil, we selected 893 shorte ...

BRAZILIAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION2021

Polynomial Jump-Diffusion Models

Damir Filipovic, Martin Larsson

We develop a comprehensive mathematical framework for polynomial jump-diffusions in a semimartingale context, which nest affine jump-diffusions and have broad applications in finance. We show that the polynomial property is preserved under polynomial trans ...

2020