35 years of photovoltaics: Analysis of the TISO-10-kW solar plant, lessons learnt in safety and performance-Part 2

The TISO-10-kW plant, installed in Lugano (Switzerland) in 1982, is the first grid-connected PV plant in Europe. In a joint publication (part 1), we presented the results of the electrical characterization performed in 2017-after 35 years of operation-of the 288 Arco Solar modules constituting the plant. Power degradation rates were different among modules and two groups could clearly be distinguished: group 1, with a remarkably low mean degradation rate of -0.2% per year, and group 2, with a mean degradation of -0.69% per year. After 35 in a temperate climate, approximately 70% of the modules (considering a +/- 3% measurement uncertainty) still exhibit a performance higher than 80% of their initial value. In this paper, when possible, we attempt at correlating module performance losses to specific failure mechanisms. For this sake, an extensive characterization of the modules was performed using visual inspection, IV curve measurements, electroluminescence, and infrared imaging. We remarkably find that module degradation rates are highly correlated to the aging pattern of the encapsulants used in module manufacturing. In particular, a specific formulation of the encapsulant (PVB), which was used only in a minority of the modules (approximately 10%), leads to degradation rates of -0.2% per year, which corresponds to a loss in performance below 10% over 35 years. Potential safety threats are also investigated, by measuring the frame continuity, the functionality of the bypass diodes, and the module insulation. Finally, we discuss how the analysis of a 35-year-old PV module technology could benefit the industry in order to target PV module lifetimes of 40+ years.

35 years of photovoltaics: Analysis of the TISO-10-kW solar plant, lessons learnt in safety and performance – Part 2

Eleonora Annigoni, Christophe Ballif, Alessandro Francesco Aldo Virtuani

The TISO-10-kW plant, installed in 1982 in Lugano (Switzerland), is made of 288 Arco Solar modules and is the first grid-connected PV plant in Europe. In a joint publication (Part 1), we presented the results of the electrical characterization performed in 2017 after 35 years of operation. Power degradation rates were different among modules, and two groups could clearly be distinguished: Group 1, with a remarkably low mean degradation rate of 0.20%/year, and Group 2, with a mean degradation of 0.69%/year. After 35 years in a temperate climate, ~60% of the modules (~70% if considering a 3% measurement uncertainty) still exhibit a performance higher than 80% of their initial value. In this paper, we identify the mechanisms responsible for performance degradation. An extensive characterization of the modules was performed, based on a detailed visual inspection, IV curve measurements, electroluminescence and infrared imaging. When possible, we attempt to correlate module performance losses to specific failure mechanisms. We find that encapsulant aging is the main cause for the increase in the degradation rates over the last 7 years, discussed in Part 1, and we assigned the performance losses in the different groups to changes in the encapsulant used for the lamination. Potential safety threats are also investigated, by measuring the frame continuity, the functionality of the by-pass diodes, and the modules insulation. Finally, we discuss how the analysis of a 35-years-old PV module technology could serve the industry in order to target PV module lifetimes of 40+ years.

2019

35 years of photovoltaics: Analysis of the TISO-10-kW solar plant, lessons learnt in safety and performance-Part 1

Eleonora Annigoni, Christophe Ballif, Alessandro Francesco Aldo Virtuani

The TISO-10-kW solar plant, connected to the grid in 1982, is the oldest installation of this kind in Europe. Its history is well documented, and the full set of modules has been tested indoors at regular intervals over the years. After 35 years of operation, we observe an increase in the degradation rates and that the distributions of modules' performances are drastically changing compared with previous years. Two groups of modules can be observed: (a) group 1: 21.5% of the modules show a very modest degradation, described by a Gaussian distribution with mean yearly power degradation of only -0.2%/y. (b) Group 2: 72.9% of the modules form a negatively skewed distribution with a long tail described by mode (-0.54%/y), median (-0.62%/y), and mean (-0.69%/y) values. In earlier years, decreases in performances could strongly be correlated to losses in fill factor (FF). After 35 years, the situation changes and, for a subset of modules, losses in the current (Isc) are superimposed to losses in FF. The reasons for this will become clearer in part 2, where we will present results of a detailed visual inspection on the whole set of modules and will focus on safety aspect too. We conclude that, after 35 years of operation in a temperate climate, approximately 60% (similar to 70% if considering a +/- 3% measurement uncertainty) of the modules would still satisfy a warranty criteria that module manufacturers are presently considering to apply to the technology of tomorrow: 35 years of operation with a performance threshold set at 80% of the initial value.

WILEY2019

Reliability of photovoltaic modules

Eleonora Annigoni

A fundamental challenge with solar energy is improving the reliability, and increasing the lifetime, of photovoltaic modules. Typically, photovoltaic module manufacturers guarantee 80% of the nominal power of their modules for 25 years, but this type of guarantee is not based on a deep comprehension of the real degradation mechanisms of the modules. Moreover, the current challenge is to extend module lifetimes up to 30-40 years. For these reasons, accurate predictions of the lifetime of modules are needed. The primary goal of this dissertation is to develop predictive models to evaluate the lifetime of photovoltaic modules, taking into account the climates in which they operate. We consider the technology of crystalline silicon (c-Si) modules, which largely dominate the field. In Chapter 1 we identify two main degradation mechanisms, namely, potential-induced degradation (PID), and interconnection failures, that are particularly of interest as they can occur non only in harsh environments such as desert or tropical regions, but also in temperate climates. The main topic of this dissertation is the PID failure mechanism. Chapter 3 offers an introduction to the topic of PID for conventional p-type c-Si modules. In Chapter 4 we develop a lifetime model for PID. Such model is based on empirical equations obtained from accelerated tests in laboratory. In particular, we introduce a dependency on voltage that allows to perform PID prediction at string level, and analyze in detail the regeneration mechanism under irradiance. The result is a set of equations that describe the main phases of the evolution of PID as a function of the stress parameters. In Chapter 5, this model is applied to predict the evolution of PID for devices operating outdoors, considering four locations with different climates. One difficulty in applying our model to outdoor conditions arises from the fact that stress levels vary continuously according to the meteorological conditions, while our model was developed from indoor testing at constant stress conditions. We overcome this issue by using a mathematical method based on the concept of equivalent time. Moreover, suitable thresholds on the weather conditions are set to properly simulate the different phases of PID. In Chapter 6, we employ accelerated stress tests to investigate which strategies (selection of materials and/or module architectures) would allow us to manufacture PID-free modules. Chapter 7 is devoted to the second degradation mode under study in this dissertation, namely, disconnection failures. We validate experimentally a model developed in LT-SPICE that simulates the performance of a string with disconnected ribbons. In summary, this thesis proposes a combination of accelerated test sequence and simulations that allow to predict, for a given location, the effect of PID on the module power output. We are confident that this methodology could be applied in general to other degradation mechanisms, thereby allowing an improvement of the prediction of photovoltaic modules reliability in different climate conditions.

EPFL2018

Reliability of photovoltaic modules

Eleonora Annigoni

EPFL2018